{ "ticker": { "uuid": "27db74e7-9aff-4c2c-9545-e2051e9501f6", "symbol": "GLOBALVECT", "name": "Global Vectra Helicorp Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.088, "architecture_energy": 37.371, "architecture_maturity": 10.031, "architecture_confidence": 90.19, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.16, "rotation_up": 20.11, "upward_expansion": 7.72, "deceleration": 42.48, "rotation_down": 53.21, "downward_expansion": 78.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 158.122664, 159.180361, 163.947855, 165.175869 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 159.020004, "trend_reference": 167.456999, "distance_from_trend": -0.050383, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 196.284551, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.18985, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.10423, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.131418, "excess_performance": -0.087709, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.050383, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07857, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.18985, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168322, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.131042, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.073113, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.131418, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.442335, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 51471, "relative_activity": 0.912603, "balance": 1.442335, "dry_up": 2.01517, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081509, "annualized_volatility": 0.440941, "from_high_reference": -0.35879, "from_low_reference": 0.232713 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 167.456999, "fair_value_reference": 196.284551, "structural_low": 129.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.021578, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.016545, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.194846, "worst_return": -0.144145, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.067013, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.099092, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.34276, "worst_return": -0.210497, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.16928, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.239439, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.124053, "worst_return": -0.251183, 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"direction": -68.897508, "energy": 47.887366, "activity_lines": [ 159.493328, 161.38836, 166.371379, 167.490042 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 148.949997, "volume": 30806, "typical_volume": 43835.2, "trend": 169.633333, "fair_value": 195.178398, "relative_strength": -16.890354, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.317698, "energy": 68.485391, "activity_lines": [ 155.451329, 158.694724, 164.699045, 166.034472 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 165.789993, "volume": 341567, "typical_volume": 55659.65, "trend": 168.484999, "fair_value": 195.752051, "relative_strength": -9.328593, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.986405, "energy": 45.762302, "activity_lines": [ 157.833995, 159.474359, 164.667378, 165.786514 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 159.020004, "volume": 51471, "typical_volume": 56400.2, "trend": 167.456999, "fair_value": 196.284551, "relative_strength": -13.10423, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.087611, "energy": 37.371204, "activity_lines": [ 158.122664, 159.180361, 163.947855, 165.175869 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }