{ "ticker": { "uuid": "27dd175d-4398-49e1-8807-eb97393fdbe7", "symbol": "300527", "name": "China Harzone Industry Corp., Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 83.439, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -26.504, "architecture_energy": 15.926, "architecture_maturity": 84.81, "architecture_confidence": 72.648, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.88, "rotation_up": 30.13, "upward_expansion": 20.62, "deceleration": 44.0, "rotation_down": 25.17, "downward_expansion": 56.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.504, 7.356636, 7.483859, 7.661067 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.79, "trend_reference": 7.890818, "distance_from_trend": -0.012777, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.885665, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.012131, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.723756, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.067066, "excess_performance": -0.074466, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.012777, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.040591, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.012131, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025706, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.077238, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.162542, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.067066, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.401467, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 40245075, "relative_activity": 1.272035, "balance": 1.401467, "dry_up": 1.104183, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064855, "annualized_volatility": 0.3013, "from_high_reference": -0.22022, "from_low_reference": 0.208611 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.890818, "fair_value_reference": 7.885665, "structural_low": 6.445415, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.001311, "positive_rate": 0.464286, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.018401, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.154639, "worst_return": -0.19685, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.024902, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.025578, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.66195, "worst_return": -0.136295, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.026411, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.076306, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.63876, "worst_return": -0.208182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.533721, "energy": 49.739847, "activity_lines": [ 7.204026, 7.263066, 7.545163, 7.743311 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.17, "volume": 31848267, "typical_volume": 33334606.95, "trend": 7.917818, "fair_value": 7.896024, "relative_strength": -14.070851, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.962674, "energy": 36.000374, "activity_lines": [ 7.217681, 7.224074, 7.487998, 7.693194 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.53, "volume": 29492500, "typical_volume": 32034648.85, "trend": 7.900152, "fair_value": 7.888345, "relative_strength": -7.104295, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.936588, "energy": 22.109717, "activity_lines": [ 7.352994, 7.263446, 7.471548, 7.668173 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.79, "volume": 40245075, "typical_volume": 31638350.7, "trend": 7.890818, "fair_value": 7.885665, "relative_strength": -7.723756, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -26.504169, "energy": 15.925758, "activity_lines": [ 7.504, 7.356636, 7.483859, 7.661067 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }