{ "ticker": { "uuid": "27ddc42a-dfa3-4ddf-b330-76970cfe6632", "symbol": "300830", "name": "JinXianDai Information Industry Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.332, "architecture_energy": 57.6, "architecture_maturity": 80.228, "architecture_confidence": 94.989, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.22, "rotation_up": 27.5, "upward_expansion": 10.46, "deceleration": 60.71, "rotation_down": 52.77, "downward_expansion": 83.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.905333, 7.950909, 8.716095, 9.543806 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.39, "trend_reference": 10.707333, "distance_from_trend": -0.216425, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.789035, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.045401, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.186167, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.407904, "excess_performance": -0.415304, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.216425, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06917, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.045401, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.319022, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.261862, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092803, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.407904, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.449041, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65007157, "relative_activity": 1.131826, "balance": 0.449041, "dry_up": 1.004263, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101861, "annualized_volatility": 0.470067, "from_high_reference": -0.475297, "from_low_reference": 0.214182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.707333, "fair_value_reference": 8.789035, "structural_low": 6.91, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.001742, "positive_rate": 0.47619, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": 0.015192, "regime_survival": 0.809524, "best_return": 0.394905, "worst_return": -0.389105, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.017106, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.057651, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.504708, "worst_return": -0.320363, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.097313, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.034854, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.689165, "worst_return": -0.253505, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.760035, "energy": 89.903352, "activity_lines": [ 7.746667, 8.291455, 9.247333, 10.110688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.21, "volume": 50493984, "typical_volume": 69486448.05, "trend": 10.831333, "fair_value": 8.7958, "relative_strength": -35.389296, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.798856, "energy": 87.944442, "activity_lines": [ 7.498667, 7.99, 8.973286, 9.870796 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.14, "volume": 61696868, "typical_volume": 60202009.1, "trend": 10.767, "fair_value": 8.790598, "relative_strength": -25.326805, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.724892, "energy": 64.895879, "activity_lines": [ 7.67, 7.923818, 8.821429, 9.697161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.39, "volume": 65007157, "typical_volume": 57435641.5, "trend": 10.707333, "fair_value": 8.789035, "relative_strength": -26.186167, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.332246, "energy": 57.600063, "activity_lines": [ 7.905333, 7.950909, 8.716095, 9.543806 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }