{ "ticker": { "uuid": "27e31daa-acfb-455a-a55b-990292fe909f", "symbol": "EQY", "name": "Franklin All-Equity ETF Portfolio Series ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 79.798, "architecture_energy": 87.98, "architecture_maturity": 16.143, "architecture_confidence": 77.04, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.39, "rotation_up": 78.08, "upward_expansion": 94.05, "deceleration": 44.94, "rotation_down": 9.65, "downward_expansion": 20.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.797333, 29.162011, 28.558105, 28.063624 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 30.32, "trend_reference": 27.519012, "distance_from_trend": 0.101784, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23.947071, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.266126, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.064847, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.149443, "excess_performance": 0.029021, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.101784, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028378, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.266126, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.060366, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.010648, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020727, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.149443, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 9.795556, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100, "relative_activity": 0.127755, "balance": 9.795556, "dry_up": 0.766528, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.027531, "annualized_volatility": 0.231172, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.269415 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.519012, "fair_value_reference": 23.947071, "structural_low": 25.43202, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.009201, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.010203, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.041623, "worst_return": -0.073418, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.025114, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.010412, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.057442, "worst_return": -0.007214, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.020507, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.080675, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.020507, "worst_return": 0.020507, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.058437, "energy": 83.963488, "activity_lines": [ 29.389063, 28.571147, 28.134556, 27.732077 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.52, "volume": 1400, "typical_volume": 832.75, "trend": 27.402549, "fair_value": 23.89017, "relative_strength": 1.579227, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.071971, "energy": 83.705488, "activity_lines": [ 29.556667, 28.800105, 28.316617, 27.875401 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.32, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 782.75, "trend": 27.519012, "fair_value": 23.947071, "relative_strength": 1.064847, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.798232, "energy": 87.980492, "activity_lines": [ 29.797333, 29.162011, 28.558105, 28.063624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }