{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "27ee7d00-eeb6-4856-977f-d46812ce07f4",
    "symbol": "FRI",
    "name": "FIRST TRUST EXCHANGE TRADED FUND SHS FIRST TRUST S&P REIT INDEX FUND",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 87.997,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.122,
    "architecture_energy": 52.808,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.473,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.01,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.5,
        "rotation_up": 58.1,
        "upward_expansion": 78.78,
        "deceleration": 61.81,
        "rotation_down": 19.33,
        "downward_expansion": 7.78
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        32.5244,
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        31.13629
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 32.15,
    "trend_reference": 30.374607,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.05845,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 26.444517,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.215753,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.4184,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.113427,
    "excess_performance": -0.012198,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05845,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.053522,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.215753,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01239,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014184,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002056,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113427,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.8052,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 409575,
      "relative_activity": 2.790612,
      "balance": 0.8052,
      "dry_up": 1.729859,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.030284,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.163649,
      "from_high_reference": -0.038577,
      "from_low_reference": 0.239542
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 26.444517,
      "structural_low": 27.9,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 29,
        "median_return": 0.008033,
        "positive_rate": 0.586207,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.586207,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002882,
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        "best_return": 0.099122,
        "worst_return": -0.118177,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.0554,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      },
      {
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 118584.15,
        "trend": 29.853793,
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        "relative_strength": 4.976316,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.28039,
        "energy": 78.8754,
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          30.637014
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 33.342,
        "volume": 397023,
        "typical_volume": 132852.8,
        "trend": 30.054528,
        "fair_value": 26.323741,
        "relative_strength": 7.031032,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.769572,
        "energy": 84.697962,
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          32.681227,
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          31.437327,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.38,
        "volume": 121534,
        "typical_volume": 131284.95,
        "trend": 30.224901,
        "fair_value": 26.385073,
        "relative_strength": 2.775731,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.606632,
        "energy": 64.157841,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.64642,
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          31.595348,
          31.01209
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 32.15,
        "volume": 409575,
        "typical_volume": 146768.9,
        "trend": 30.374607,
        "fair_value": 26.444517,
        "relative_strength": -1.4184,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.121879,
        "energy": 52.80773,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}