{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "27efcff3-8572-4efe-a080-99a2f4ee67cc",
    "symbol": "S92",
    "name": "SMA Solar Technology AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 24.906,
    "architecture_energy": 16.552,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.605,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.482,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 60.01,
        "rotation_up": 33.72,
        "upward_expansion": 54.39,
        "deceleration": 80.19,
        "rotation_down": 20.9,
        "downward_expansion": 18.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        56.8,
        56.918546,
        57.532333,
        54.176925
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 55.799999,
    "trend_reference": 48.905333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.14098,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 35.96355,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.551571,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 18.159841,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.65677,
    "excess_performance": 0.482523,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.14098,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188503,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.551571,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.080095,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181598,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.628788,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.65677,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.369757,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 307,
      "relative_activity": 0.212494,
      "balance": 0.369757,
      "dry_up": 1.078041,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.147781,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.692075,
      "from_high_reference": -0.209072,
      "from_low_reference": 2.527181
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 48.905333,
      "fair_value_reference": 35.96355,
      "structural_low": 28.98,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.110272,
        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.636364,
        "median_excess_return": 0.039288,
        "regime_survival": 0.363636,
        "best_return": 0.45815,
        "worst_return": -0.142081,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.300644,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.246136,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 1.073631,
        "worst_return": -0.288761,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.516743,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.367871,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.688984,
        "worst_return": -0.189225,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 1.708438,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 1.60661,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 2.378201,
        "worst_return": -0.751951,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.103097,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-19",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.660777,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.042161,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.125248,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022912,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.457649,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.14265,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.073193,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.020796,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.104607,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-10-17",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.416667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.45815,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.231718,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.02952,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "close": 54.450001,
        "volume": 223,
        "typical_volume": 1646.3,
        "trend": 35.672,
        "fair_value": 38.95755,
        "relative_strength": 61.759523,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.411336,
        "energy": 90.626875,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.102001,
          47.20891,
          41.961667,
          39.447936
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 63.200001,
        "volume": 993,
        "typical_volume": 1658.85,
        "trend": 37.011333,
        "fair_value": 38.733415,
        "relative_strength": 81.038644,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.543778,
        "energy": 95.405079,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.528667,
          50.86491,
          44.278429,
          41.223936
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 63.0,
        "volume": 2967,
        "typical_volume": 1807.2,
        "trend": 38.343333,
        "fair_value": 38.469899,
        "relative_strength": 77.881563,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.07935,
        "energy": 91.000372,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.866001,
          53.913273,
          46.429572,
          42.900624
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 67.199997,
        "volume": 629,
        "typical_volume": 1838.65,
        "trend": 39.813333,
        "fair_value": 38.25426,
        "relative_strength": 82.071365,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.245334,
        "energy": 88.042496,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.529999,
          57.128545,
          48.838333,
          44.762344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 65.900002,
        "volume": 464,
        "typical_volume": 1804.35,
        "trend": 41.148667,
        "fair_value": 38.028383,
        "relative_strength": 70.392938,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.531246,
        "energy": 83.685805,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.543333,
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          50.974048,
          46.445355
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 60.299999,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1793.05,
        "trend": 42.236,
        "fair_value": 37.8663,
        "relative_strength": 54.931575,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.301476,
        "energy": 66.204864,
        "activity_lines": [
          63.726666,
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          52.434524,
          47.680925
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 49.16,
        "volume": 406,
        "typical_volume": 1800.15,
        "trend": 42.850667,
        "fair_value": 37.618838,
        "relative_strength": 21.469562,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.33133,
        "energy": 46.779203,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.806666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 58.950001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1732.8,
        "trend": 43.753,
        "fair_value": 37.445879,
        "relative_strength": 37.63745,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.314338,
        "energy": 35.41308,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.086,
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          49.166301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 54.200001,
        "volume": 1054,
        "typical_volume": 1717.4,
        "trend": 44.407667,
        "fair_value": 37.112618,
        "relative_strength": 27.631226,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.582781,
        "energy": 26.8298,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.052001,
          58.568728,
          54.461429,
          49.840301
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 60.049999,
        "volume": 1241,
        "typical_volume": 1654.4,
        "trend": 45.21,
        "fair_value": 36.871466,
        "relative_strength": 36.46413,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.061335,
        "energy": 26.49548,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.834667,
          58.799455,
          55.519857,
          50.849484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 53.950001,
        "volume": 2227,
        "typical_volume": 1665.65,
        "trend": 45.779667,
        "fair_value": 36.640739,
        "relative_strength": 22.939523,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.514039,
        "energy": 22.591804,
        "activity_lines": [
          55.974,
          57.764727,
          55.869762,
          51.413355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 63.0,
        "volume": 1931,
        "typical_volume": 1558.4,
        "trend": 46.799,
        "fair_value": 36.473104,
        "relative_strength": 44.119386,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.810144,
        "energy": 34.061545,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.553334,
          58.384546,
          56.980095,
          52.524344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 56.75,
        "volume": 3144,
        "typical_volume": 1547.0,
        "trend": 47.587333,
        "fair_value": 36.28763,
        "relative_strength": 26.515223,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.868522,
        "energy": 29.237169,
        "activity_lines": [
          58.126667,
          57.871637,
          57.346524,
          53.166344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 55.700001,
        "volume": 848,
        "typical_volume": 1521.9,
        "trend": 48.248667,
        "fair_value": 36.095743,
        "relative_strength": 22.684425,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.250644,
        "energy": 20.015256,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.496667,
          57.281455,
          57.486429,
          53.689742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.799999,
        "volume": 307,
        "typical_volume": 1444.75,
        "trend": 48.905333,
        "fair_value": 35.96355,
        "relative_strength": 18.159841,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 24.906293,
        "energy": 16.552239,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.8,
          56.918546,
          57.532333,
          54.176925
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}