{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "27f4aa33-84e4-401b-88ce-3c288c8e3745",
    "symbol": "TLX",
    "name": "Talanx AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 77.574,
    "architecture_energy": 79.339,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.574,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.007,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.62,
        "rotation_up": 81.33,
        "upward_expansion": 95.39,
        "deceleration": 39.33,
        "rotation_down": 9.38,
        "downward_expansion": 17.39
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        114.806667,
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        108.402773
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 116.900002,
    "trend_reference": 106.790271,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.094669,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 85.122434,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.373316,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.672892,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.091537,
    "excess_performance": -0.08271,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094669,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006842,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.373316,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.052773,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.116729,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054775,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.091537,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.0,
      "dry_up": 0.0,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.036981,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.214519,
      "from_high_reference": -0.032561,
      "from_low_reference": 0.199931
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 106.790271,
      "fair_value_reference": 85.122434,
      "structural_low": 97.422235,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.004537,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000614,
        "regime_survival": 0.74359,
        "best_return": 0.164663,
        "worst_return": -0.100491,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 15,
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        "positive_rate": 0.733333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.733333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006117,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
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        "worst_return": -0.051527,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "worst_return": 0.059751,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.840124,
        "energy": 60.928326,
        "activity_lines": [
          110.482821,
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          106.172986
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 105.800003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 50.85,
        "trend": 105.844207,
        "fair_value": 80.118587,
        "relative_strength": -17.150363,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.371392,
        "energy": 45.886666,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.012177,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 105.599998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18.35,
        "trend": 105.952332,
        "fair_value": 80.502676,
        "relative_strength": -16.528493,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.356057,
        "energy": 15.235993,
        "activity_lines": [
          107.471019,
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          106.14514
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 107.199997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 18.35,
        "trend": 106.042844,
        "fair_value": 80.900529,
        "relative_strength": -16.485806,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.473376,
        "energy": 17.261287,
        "activity_lines": [
          106.87901,
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          106.336665,
          106.225634
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 103.300003,
        "volume": 23,
        "typical_volume": 19.5,
        "trend": 106.064629,
        "fair_value": 81.24854,
        "relative_strength": -21.113712,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.249887,
        "energy": 16.34475,
        "activity_lines": [
          105.438047,
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          106.048677
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 98.800003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 19.5,
        "trend": 105.946088,
        "fair_value": 81.574428,
        "relative_strength": -23.14839,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.788808,
        "energy": 37.783274,
        "activity_lines": [
          103.053334,
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          105.487053,
          105.579991
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 101.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.0,
        "trend": 105.675141,
        "fair_value": 81.907111,
        "relative_strength": -23.043736,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.808839,
        "energy": 53.381446,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 105.699997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.0,
        "trend": 105.702754,
        "fair_value": 82.287458,
        "relative_strength": -22.190004,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.221679,
        "energy": 43.4744,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 108.400002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.0,
        "trend": 105.707498,
        "fair_value": 82.674591,
        "relative_strength": -18.156609,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -21.066869,
        "energy": 16.177275,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.58,
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          105.500969,
          105.436509
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 113.800003,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.0,
        "trend": 105.995437,
        "fair_value": 83.101308,
        "relative_strength": -15.640972,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 31.531791,
        "energy": 25.368677,
        "activity_lines": [
          108.033334,
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          106.323557,
          105.958606
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 111.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.0,
        "trend": 106.115871,
        "fair_value": 83.505401,
        "relative_strength": -16.157005,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.596889,
        "energy": 49.416489,
        "activity_lines": [
          109.853334,
          107.147273,
          106.824523,
          106.281481
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 112.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.0,
        "trend": 106.201917,
        "fair_value": 83.901291,
        "relative_strength": -13.286963,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.774806,
        "energy": 65.904956,
        "activity_lines": [
          111.193334,
          108.227273,
          107.390623,
          106.661102
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 114.199997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.0,
        "trend": 106.345171,
        "fair_value": 84.304854,
        "relative_strength": -12.268058,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.678384,
        "energy": 75.381443,
        "activity_lines": [
          112.533333,
          109.594545,
          108.129538,
          107.177107
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 115.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2.0,
        "trend": 106.557016,
        "fair_value": 84.712961,
        "relative_strength": -11.080169,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.736587,
        "energy": 75.962113,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.573333,
          110.950909,
          108.879952,
          107.735483
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 116.900002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1.15,
        "trend": 106.790271,
        "fair_value": 85.122434,
        "relative_strength": -11.672892,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.574312,
        "energy": 79.339446,
        "activity_lines": [
          114.806667,
          112.510909,
          109.752492,
          108.402773
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}