{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2800df3b-b7ca-4baa-85d4-88b4c4f1ec95",
    "symbol": "UTMD",
    "name": "Utah Medical Products Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 43.247,
    "architecture_energy": 22.996,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.358,
    "architecture_confidence": 50.513,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 39.71,
        "rotation_up": 40.23,
        "upward_expansion": 62.89,
        "deceleration": 63.24,
        "rotation_down": 21.25,
        "downward_expansion": 12.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        69.680667,
        69.813366,
        68.473995,
        67.417415
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 70.83,
    "trend_reference": 65.885035,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.075054,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 64.518027,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.097833,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.958634,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.160101,
    "excess_performance": -0.027352,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075054,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07267,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.097833,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116617,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009586,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077307,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.160101,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.668738,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 111724,
      "relative_activity": 1.34532,
      "balance": 1.668738,
      "dry_up": 2.057347,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.077265,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.285778,
      "from_high_reference": -0.06495,
      "from_low_reference": 0.339695
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 65.885035,
      "fair_value_reference": 64.518027,
      "structural_low": 60.391377,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.019741,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007309,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.080389,
        "worst_return": -0.055,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.056522,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004897,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.158482,
        "worst_return": -0.094256,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.001698,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.106034,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.143528,
        "worst_return": -0.146923,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.018463,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.344249,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.018463,
        "worst_return": 0.018463,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-22",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.165375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.031362,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.11484,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064511,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042143,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.050602,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.031056,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-19",
        "end": "2025-12-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00265,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-02",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.084071,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.049787,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.088206,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.119297,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.00427,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004396,
        "active": true
      }
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -3.709586,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 5.808923,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 3.243709,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -5.188995,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 69.8,
        "volume": 132058,
        "typical_volume": 66800.85,
        "trend": 64.65226,
        "fair_value": 64.93671,
        "relative_strength": 1.54447,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 57.221244,
        "energy": 49.335808,
        "activity_lines": [
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          66.558096
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 67.14,
        "volume": 237256,
        "typical_volume": 75040.45,
        "trend": 65.016546,
        "fair_value": 64.78566,
        "relative_strength": -0.671251,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.791559,
        "energy": 28.325924,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 70.52,
        "volume": 202383,
        "typical_volume": 81945.45,
        "trend": 65.501752,
        "fair_value": 64.643544,
        "relative_strength": 3.660683,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.124248,
        "energy": 21.356992,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.284,
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          68.105041,
          67.073657
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 70.83,
        "volume": 111724,
        "typical_volume": 83046.4,
        "trend": 65.885035,
        "fair_value": 64.518027,
        "relative_strength": -0.958634,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.247487,
        "energy": 22.99633,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}