{ "ticker": { "uuid": "280c6801-1f9a-471f-bfc3-69d327302a21", "symbol": "IMFA", "name": "Indian Metals and Ferro Alloys Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 70.861, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 39.255, "architecture_energy": 19.122, "architecture_maturity": 28.696, "architecture_confidence": 62.919, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.64, "rotation_up": 42.75, "upward_expansion": 59.2, "deceleration": 60.09, "rotation_down": 22.94, "downward_expansion": 18.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 1417.001766, 1399.232733, 1418.380242, 1398.058497 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1472.199951, "trend_reference": 1357.999833, "distance_from_trend": 0.084094, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 845.335686, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.741557, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 15.363034, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.115472, "excess_performance": 0.159181, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084094, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013363, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.741557, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.317748, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.15363, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.291704, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.115472, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.603148, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2551876, "relative_activity": 3.138256, "balance": 2.603148, "dry_up": 1.245721, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07295, "annualized_volatility": 0.402914, "from_high_reference": -0.123638, "from_low_reference": 1.047222 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1357.999833, "fair_value_reference": 845.335686, "structural_low": 1147.099976, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.013913, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.031468, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.289745, "worst_return": -0.32054, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.161631, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.104854, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.393444, "worst_return": -0.232818, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.220075, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.266917, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.490508, "worst_return": -0.346048, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": 10.421354, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.430959, "energy": 14.527696, "activity_lines": [ 1354.241016, 1376.578025, 1406.947821, 1383.847083 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1448.599976, "volume": 729570, "typical_volume": 704654.3, "trend": 1349.469837, "fair_value": 837.985825, "relative_strength": 15.664026, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.75932, "energy": 12.851199, "activity_lines": [ 1385.981324, 1385.899927, 1412.185462, 1390.140425 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1472.199951, "volume": 2551876, "typical_volume": 813151.0, "trend": 1357.999833, "fair_value": 845.335686, "relative_strength": 15.363034, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.254644, "energy": 19.122478, "activity_lines": [ 1417.001766, 1399.232733, 1418.380242, 1398.058497 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }