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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 88.699, "architecture_energy": 74.215, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.58, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.97, "rotation_up": 65.21, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 58.34, "rotation_down": 25.28, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 100.436902, 100.377118, 100.240468, 100.07594 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 100.58, "trend_reference": 99.817077, "distance_from_trend": 0.007643, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 94.440385, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.06501, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.556219, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.014476, "excess_performance": -0.111149, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007643, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006493, "read": "Rising" 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"direction": 66.494411, "energy": 66.750682, "activity_lines": [ 100.289034, 100.237344, 100.073317, 99.883112 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 100.300573, "volume": 7099187, "typical_volume": 8031648.0, "trend": 99.642251, "fair_value": 94.178355, "relative_strength": -6.97111, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.909475, "energy": 65.032425, "activity_lines": [ 100.286499, 100.262893, 100.110521, 99.92936 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 100.340438, "volume": 6097426, "typical_volume": 7920453.55, "trend": 99.699156, "fair_value": 94.265808, "relative_strength": -6.164842, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.812215, "energy": 62.954105, "activity_lines": [ 100.29566, 100.287388, 100.147051, 99.974404 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 100.450067, "volume": 7961639, "typical_volume": 7878240.2, "trend": 99.757098, "fair_value": 94.352959, "relative_strength": -6.796492, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.25245, "energy": 70.781539, "activity_lines": [ 100.345089, 100.324235, 100.189833, 100.02285 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 100.58, "volume": 8620505, "typical_volume": 7892953.9, "trend": 99.817077, "fair_value": 94.440385, "relative_strength": -9.556219, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.699283, "energy": 74.214816, "activity_lines": [ 100.436902, 100.377118, 100.240468, 100.07594 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }