{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2833e03c-d326-44c2-a00a-d77ceac834dc",
    "symbol": "C76",
    "name": "Creative Technology Ltd",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 52.922,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 11.074,
    "architecture_energy": 9.849,
    "architecture_maturity": 40.902,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.944,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 60.19,
        "rotation_up": 20.35,
        "upward_expansion": 44.62,
        "deceleration": 83.93,
        "rotation_down": 30.25,
        "downward_expansion": 27.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.79,
        0.790727,
        0.816,
        0.790226
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.815,
    "trend_reference": 0.754833,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.079709,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.027276,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.206639,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.408615,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.13986,
    "excess_performance": -0.014975,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079709,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106794,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.206639,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026576,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034086,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.133615,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.13986,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.266641,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 96400,
      "relative_activity": 0.261034,
      "balance": 2.266641,
      "dry_up": 0.273389,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.107126,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.444698,
      "from_high_reference": -0.272321,
      "from_low_reference": 0.509259
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.754833,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.027276,
      "structural_low": 0.61,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.007042,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031175,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.370079,
        "worst_return": -0.085106,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.011609,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027945,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.073333,
        "worst_return": -0.096552,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.052874,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.156822,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.066667,
        "worst_return": -0.172414,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.193103,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.391534,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.193103,
        "worst_return": -0.193103,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-04-14",
        "end": "2023-05-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.091549,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-05-19",
        "end": "2023-09-15",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.056911,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-09-22",
        "end": "2023-10-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.15,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-10-20",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013245,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-02-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.096552,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-02-09",
        "end": "2024-03-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-22",
        "end": "2024-06-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.01626,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-14",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.166667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.461207,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.046667,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.092857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.224,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.006211,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.072368,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 1.17,
        "volume": 134850,
        "typical_volume": 66522.5,
        "trend": 1.378,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 370860.0,
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        "fair_value": 1.038301,
        "relative_strength": -5.682961,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 22.924527,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 103900,
        "typical_volume": 371512.5,
        "trend": 0.734833,
        "fair_value": 1.035,
        "relative_strength": -9.316802,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.207247,
        "energy": 16.662806,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.780667,
          0.815091,
          0.812833,
          0.780419
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.76,
        "volume": 120100,
        "typical_volume": 372185.0,
        "trend": 0.7405,
        "fair_value": 1.032115,
        "relative_strength": -9.32685,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 5.317667,
        "energy": 12.111263,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.772333,
          0.797,
          0.811548,
          0.782043
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.8,
        "volume": 83450,
        "typical_volume": 370272.5,
        "trend": 0.747667,
        "fair_value": 1.029615,
        "relative_strength": -4.588858,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 8.114005,
        "energy": 12.410786,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.78,
          0.790727,
          0.813476,
          0.785882
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.815,
        "volume": 96400,
        "typical_volume": 369300.0,
        "trend": 0.754833,
        "fair_value": 1.027276,
        "relative_strength": -3.408615,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.073677,
        "energy": 9.849186,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.79,
          0.790727,
          0.816,
          0.790226
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}