{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2835d6ec-6286-49fd-be60-741eda7424b5", "symbol": "300211", "name": "Jiangsu Yitong High-Tech Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.517, "architecture_energy": 61.56, "architecture_maturity": 22.184, "architecture_confidence": 83.459, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.03, "rotation_up": 11.35, "upward_expansion": 11.47, "deceleration": 42.34, "rotation_down": 69.57, "downward_expansion": 84.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.947333, 7.171636, 7.683667, 7.931075 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.62, "trend_reference": 8.258333, "distance_from_trend": -0.077296, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.086026, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.057633, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.986439, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.101415, "excess_performance": -0.108815, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.077296, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049528, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.057633, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184114, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.149864, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057417, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.101415, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.40488, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 25544405, "relative_activity": 1.685325, "balance": 0.40488, "dry_up": 1.225688, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.101252, "annualized_volatility": 0.461644, "from_high_reference": -0.338542, "from_low_reference": 0.456979 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.258333, "fair_value_reference": 8.086026, "structural_low": 5.23, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.012162, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": 0.034655, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.408451, "worst_return": -0.251979, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.103603, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.017794, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.516717, "worst_return": -0.311098, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.114222, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.032894, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.334347, "worst_return": -0.324905, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"typical_volume": 14143464.55, "trend": 8.417333, "fair_value": 8.136282, "relative_strength": -21.734591, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.188899, "energy": 75.626151, "activity_lines": [ 7.41, 7.685455, 8.06581, 8.234774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.06, "volume": 23482345, "typical_volume": 14600260.55, "trend": 8.343333, "fair_value": 8.113782, "relative_strength": -30.312076, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -88.170751, "energy": 81.468691, "activity_lines": [ 6.918, 7.329273, 7.857857, 8.082688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.66, "volume": 12268149, "typical_volume": 14597083.15, "trend": 8.286667, "fair_value": 8.095513, "relative_strength": -21.962877, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.229167, "energy": 78.943494, "activity_lines": [ 6.750667, 7.140545, 7.719905, 7.974086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.62, "volume": 25544405, "typical_volume": 15156964.6, "trend": 8.258333, "fair_value": 8.086026, "relative_strength": -14.986439, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.517161, "energy": 61.560044, "activity_lines": [ 6.947333, 7.171636, 7.683667, 7.931075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }