{ "ticker": { "uuid": "28416d9e-c6bd-4e5f-9310-785fd63bb72a", "symbol": "KMBC", "name": "Kimberly-Clark Corporation", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.117, "architecture_energy": 47.007, "architecture_maturity": 56.064, "architecture_confidence": 38.823, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.83, "rotation_up": 43.83, "upward_expansion": 72.1, "deceleration": 74.29, "rotation_down": 26.2, "downward_expansion": 12.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 95.437999, 95.343272, 91.315145, 89.674054 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 94.129997, "trend_reference": 88.081723, "distance_from_trend": 0.068667, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 105.319226, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.106241, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -16.84302, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.082, "excess_performance": -0.092247, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068667, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027785, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.106241, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12191, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.16843, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.11676, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.082, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.461039, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 213, "relative_activity": 5.252774, "balance": 0.461039, "dry_up": 1.713933, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042088, "annualized_volatility": 0.195058, "from_high_reference": -0.163371, "from_low_reference": 0.183561 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 88.081723, "fair_value_reference": 105.319226, "structural_low": 79.531193, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.021066, "positive_rate": 0.347826, "directional_follow_through": 0.347826, "median_excess_return": -0.025951, "regime_survival": 0.608696, "best_return": 0.084985, "worst_return": -0.118147, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.013079, "positive_rate": 0.3, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.036413, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.105584, "worst_return": -0.113004, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.028972, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.018805, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.138068, "worst_return": -0.177714, "sufficient": true }, { 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"relative_strength": -14.263567, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.580529, "energy": 93.043094, "activity_lines": [ 96.401334, 91.967912, 88.249607, 87.535816 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 95.970001, "volume": 43, "typical_volume": 35.2, "trend": 86.959641, "fair_value": 105.487636, "relative_strength": -14.015478, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.081932, "energy": 88.130089, "activity_lines": [ 96.951334, 93.278482, 89.106452, 88.141409 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 96.099998, "volume": 22, "typical_volume": 29.9, "trend": 87.373493, "fair_value": 105.428026, "relative_strength": -14.377297, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.297538, "energy": 86.006112, "activity_lines": [ 97.02, 94.367138, 89.958619, 88.731109 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 95.57, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 29.9, "trend": 87.710867, "fair_value": 105.379805, "relative_strength": -13.956625, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.049787, "energy": 58.806297, "activity_lines": [ 96.461333, 95.086817, 90.726311, 89.259916 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 94.129997, "volume": 213, "typical_volume": 40.55, "trend": 88.081723, "fair_value": 105.319226, "relative_strength": -16.84302, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.117249, "energy": 47.006747, "activity_lines": [ 95.437999, 95.343272, 91.315145, 89.674054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }