{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2841dcaa-da43-45ec-bf35-07d687b3582a", "symbol": "M1SI34", "name": "Motorola Solutions, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 14.803, "architecture_energy": 15.823, "architecture_maturity": 27.339, "architecture_confidence": 73.976, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 68.86, "rotation_up": 35.93, "upward_expansion": 26.02, "deceleration": 49.02, "rotation_down": 20.55, "downward_expansion": 50.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 68.575833, 67.67495, 67.128707, 68.290632 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 75.110001, "trend_reference": 69.03977, "distance_from_trend": 0.087924, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 66.509124, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.129319, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.970265, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.132629, "excess_performance": 0.189677, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.087924, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.01734, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.129319, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070371, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.029703, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.225009, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.132629, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 5.450781, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 130, "relative_activity": 0.132802, "balance": 5.450781, "dry_up": 0.168046, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.039078, "annualized_volatility": 0.366132, "from_high_reference": -0.06703, "from_low_reference": 0.238568 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.03977, "fair_value_reference": 66.509124, "structural_low": 61.272778, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.00056, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.027556, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.107884, "worst_return": -0.103034, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.022067, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.073519, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.112402, "worst_return": -0.21399, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.157666, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.008884, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.164303, "worst_return": -0.067936, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-11.802605, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.693744, "energy": 23.905588, "activity_lines": [ 67.018006, 66.177092, 67.602876, 68.509479 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 68.309998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 968.4, "trend": 68.774837, "fair_value": 65.995078, "relative_strength": -9.107678, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.07155, "energy": 31.118746, "activity_lines": [ 67.574249, 66.652967, 67.458896, 68.489396 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 64.022499, "volume": 528, "typical_volume": 982.0, "trend": 68.758703, "fair_value": 66.142735, "relative_strength": -14.293943, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.399223, "energy": 32.887227, "activity_lines": [ 66.656166, 66.349115, 66.929216, 68.182794 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 64.022499, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 978.0, "trend": 68.702303, "fair_value": 66.290393, "relative_strength": -15.368263, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.387064, "energy": 42.442167, "activity_lines": [ 65.734749, 66.019855, 66.467169, 67.877232 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 75.110001, "volume": 130, "typical_volume": 978.9, "trend": 69.03977, "fair_value": 66.509124, "relative_strength": 2.970265, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 14.802938, "energy": 15.822548, "activity_lines": [ 68.575833, 67.67495, 67.128707, 68.290632 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }