{ "ticker": { "uuid": "28474f7d-c74f-4358-aad2-1daabff24054", "symbol": "6831", "name": "Taiwan Microloops Corp.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 12.72, "architecture_energy": 16.601, "architecture_maturity": 81.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.752, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.33, "rotation_up": 17.57, "upward_expansion": 45.32, "deceleration": 87.84, "rotation_down": 34.77, "downward_expansion": 25.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 633.733333, 680.854545, 688.057143, 626.129529 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 683.0, "trend_reference": 528.210237, "distance_from_trend": 0.293046, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 185.532033, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.681305, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 39.483992, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.63125, "excess_performance": 1.189878, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.293046, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.441641, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.681305, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.923922, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.39484, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.812913, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.63125, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.402465, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5102219, "relative_activity": 0.840774, "balance": 1.402465, "dry_up": 0.767954, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.212862, "annualized_volatility": 0.86373, "from_high_reference": -0.295876, "from_low_reference": 3.602487 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 528.210237, "fair_value_reference": 185.532033, "structural_low": 248.653575, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.014406, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": -0.01834, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.572327, "worst_return": -0.141304, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.095534, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.009611, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.793054, "worst_return": -0.117117, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.56863, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.505833, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.719772, "worst_return": 0.17173, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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591.870053 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 678.0, "volume": 2292926, "typical_volume": 6250107.35, "trend": 494.702375, "fair_value": 174.814808, "relative_strength": 50.979555, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.882008, "energy": 31.467451, "activity_lines": [ 721.8, 746.309091, 689.233404, 604.645716 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 525.0, "volume": 3363805, "typical_volume": 6168064.8, "trend": 502.838575, "fair_value": 177.815232, "relative_strength": 17.130952, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.052872, "energy": 19.976303, "activity_lines": [ 644.0, 704.327273, 681.368913, 606.600401 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 637.0, "volume": 7882313, "typical_volume": 6243028.3, "trend": 514.45995, "fair_value": 181.509406, "relative_strength": 36.768618, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.898321, "energy": 23.914772, "activity_lines": [ 621.666667, 687.454545, 683.176577, 615.255977 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 683.0, "volume": 5102219, "typical_volume": 6068481.45, "trend": 528.210237, "fair_value": 185.532033, "relative_strength": 39.483992, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.719528, "energy": 16.601037, "activity_lines": [ 633.733333, 680.854545, 688.057143, 626.129529 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }