{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2851d363-1e78-4ff4-8f33-70767d76d3c7",
    "symbol": "2130",
    "name": "Saudi Industrial Development Co.",
    "exchange": "SAU",
    "country": "SA",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TASI.SR",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.959,
    "architecture_energy": 51.947,
    "architecture_maturity": 76.001,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.593,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 12.21,
        "rotation_up": 51.53,
        "upward_expansion": 81.76,
        "deceleration": 68.55,
        "rotation_down": 26.82,
        "downward_expansion": 8.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.542667,
        16.475455,
        15.277286,
        14.202817
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 16.83,
    "trend_reference": 13.084667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.286238,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 25.820516,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.348193,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.8497,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.47891,
    "excess_performance": 0.51074,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.286238,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062582,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.348193,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.219743,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008497,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.411458,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.47891,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.039302,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2359424,
      "relative_activity": 0.79741,
      "balance": 4.039302,
      "dry_up": 0.73397,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.089949,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.411827,
      "from_high_reference": -0.516379,
      "from_low_reference": 0.837336
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.084667,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.820516,
      "structural_low": 9.16,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.03681,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.070734,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.031888,
        "worst_return": -0.150912,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.116766,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.178579,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.455928,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.139459,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.216432,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.66131,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.410833,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.4531,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.351796,
        "worst_return": -0.570408,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "energy": 86.339715,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 2764272,
        "typical_volume": 2770039.55,
        "trend": 12.654667,
        "fair_value": 26.238851,
        "relative_strength": -2.978109,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.489621,
        "energy": 79.656883,
        "activity_lines": [
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          14.443191,
          13.511979
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 16.18,
        "volume": 2233188,
        "typical_volume": 2834179.65,
        "trend": 12.805333,
        "fair_value": 26.091097,
        "relative_strength": -7.852091,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.118228,
        "energy": 62.204843,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.606,
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          14.734619,
          13.739419
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.1,
        "volume": 1329980,
        "typical_volume": 2859636.0,
        "trend": 12.942,
        "fair_value": 25.951187,
        "relative_strength": -4.673306,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.571581,
        "energy": 54.301077,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.466667,
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          14.987286,
          13.951979
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 16.83,
        "volume": 2359424,
        "typical_volume": 2958860.85,
        "trend": 13.084667,
        "fair_value": 25.820516,
        "relative_strength": -0.8497,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.959451,
        "energy": 51.946811,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}