{ "ticker": { "uuid": "28577f9b-8fac-46fb-9989-9dc6e3b59fff", "symbol": "000636", "name": "Guangdong Fenghua Advanced Technology (Holding) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.299, "architecture_energy": 30.397, "architecture_maturity": 79.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.52, "rotation_up": 23.47, "upward_expansion": 56.73, "deceleration": 91.17, "rotation_down": 37.52, "downward_expansion": 22.73 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.838666, 55.724027, 50.902191, 44.103954 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 58.290001, "trend_reference": 35.781029, "distance_from_trend": 0.629076, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.266123, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.191153, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 112.694585, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 1.843415, "excess_performance": 1.836015, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.629076, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.655992, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.191153, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 1.468283, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 1.126946, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.880222, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.843415, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.618832, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1021360835, "relative_activity": 2.377872, "balance": 2.618832, "dry_up": 1.79816, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.201334, "annualized_volatility": 1.055326, "from_high_reference": -0.275047, "from_low_reference": 3.220855 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.781029, "fair_value_reference": 18.266123, "structural_low": 18.41, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.046847, "positive_rate": 0.692308, "directional_follow_through": 0.692308, "median_excess_return": 0.023563, "regime_survival": 0.307692, "best_return": 1.113591, "worst_return": -0.119558, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.023091, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.037303, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 2.392372, "worst_return": -0.188608, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.078571, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.05104, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 3.473539, "worst_return": -0.235512, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.034789, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.144262, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.043207, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.119339, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.042153, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-16", 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.220001, "volume": 635255022, "typical_volume": 369245799.4, "trend": 33.277696, "fair_value": 17.779908, "relative_strength": 60.843174, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.905397, "energy": 31.118188, "activity_lines": [ 51.459498, 57.166058, 48.361866, 41.524496 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.349998, "volume": 985777491, "typical_volume": 398624420.45, "trend": 34.380696, "fair_value": 17.995783, "relative_strength": 95.285755, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.156088, "energy": 32.500181, "activity_lines": [ 48.691469, 55.738951, 49.272147, 42.561418 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.290001, "volume": 1021360835, "typical_volume": 429527305.95, "trend": 35.781029, "fair_value": 18.266123, "relative_strength": 112.694585, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.298788, "energy": 30.397414, "activity_lines": [ 50.838666, 55.724027, 50.902191, 44.103954 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }