{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2859aba0-a906-43c8-b4fc-6121c0085399", "symbol": "XDW0", "name": "Xtrackers MSCI World Energy UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 53.144, "architecture_energy": 42.86, "architecture_maturity": 11.738, "architecture_confidence": 68.439, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.16, "rotation_up": 67.35, "upward_expansion": 74.33, "deceleration": 65.64, "rotation_down": 11.03, "downward_expansion": 5.67 }, "activity_lines": [ 71.426002, 69.777819, 69.744143, 69.64572 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 70.870003, "trend_reference": 68.459166, "distance_from_trend": 0.035216, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 53.685884, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.320086, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.376692, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.115887, "excess_performance": 0.064652, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.035216, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075379, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.320086, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019815, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.053767, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082989, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.115887, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.405331, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 71402, "relative_activity": 0.453456, "balance": 4.405331, "dry_up": 0.830999, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041104, "annualized_volatility": 0.247389, "from_high_reference": -0.077334, "from_low_reference": 0.405593 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 68.459166, "fair_value_reference": 53.685884, "structural_low": 63.369999, 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"Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.706589, "energy": 32.157877, "activity_lines": [ 66.257332, 67.756726, 69.097308, 68.451483 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 70.309998, "volume": 58463, "typical_volume": 256888.35, "trend": 66.769166, "fair_value": 53.196685, "relative_strength": 8.560858, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 13.034488, "energy": 22.716897, "activity_lines": [ 67.424665, 68.03418, 69.154023, 68.715623 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 73.110001, "volume": 311399, "typical_volume": 184312.1, "trend": 67.385166, "fair_value": 53.37191, "relative_strength": 11.051727, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.579212, "energy": 23.917673, "activity_lines": [ 69.551333, 68.798544, 69.459356, 69.124709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 72.550003, "volume": 82138, "typical_volume": 162889.0, "trend": 67.959166, "fair_value": 53.537038, "relative_strength": 8.501108, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.593118, "energy": 37.113465, "activity_lines": [ 71.007334, 69.442363, 69.688118, 69.457924 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 70.870003, "volume": 71402, "typical_volume": 157461.65, "trend": 68.459166, "fair_value": 53.685884, "relative_strength": 5.376692, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.144168, "energy": 42.860446, "activity_lines": [ 71.426002, 69.777819, 69.744143, 69.64572 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }