{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "28751c0e-fca3-4c61-80b0-665f46f980a2",
    "symbol": "PLBC",
    "name": "Plumas Bancorp",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.312,
    "architecture_energy": 58.339,
    "architecture_maturity": 43.011,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.462,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.93,
        "rotation_up": 70.05,
        "upward_expansion": 84.41,
        "deceleration": 53.98,
        "rotation_down": 15.53,
        "downward_expansion": 8.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        61.01028,
        59.846669,
        57.133502,
        55.271834
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 61.65,
    "trend_reference": 53.110294,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.160792,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 41.493103,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.485789,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.434479,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.16174,
    "excess_performance": -0.025714,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.160792,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.106375,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.485789,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.166871,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.114345,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150138,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.16174,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.296306,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 240733,
      "relative_activity": 0.841935,
      "balance": 1.296306,
      "dry_up": 1.104242,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058081,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.183373,
      "from_high_reference": -0.027517,
      "from_low_reference": 0.580365
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 53.110294,
      "fair_value_reference": 41.493103,
      "structural_low": 46.653421,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": 0.016713,
        "positive_rate": 0.607143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.607143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004691,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.185672,
        "worst_return": -0.251131,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": 0.031493,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001559,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.261308,
        "worst_return": -0.21,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.062456,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024485,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
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        "worst_return": -0.266436,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.084409,
        "sufficient": false
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        "color": "amber",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "return": 0.047785,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-16",
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        "return": 0.033984,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 61.022138,
        "volume": 392479,
        "typical_volume": 277235.0,
        "trend": 51.396493,
        "fair_value": 40.953091,
        "relative_strength": 16.135587,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.632367,
        "energy": 67.616563,
        "activity_lines": [
          59.099189,
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          53.479964
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 61.002245,
        "volume": 386113,
        "typical_volume": 285116.6,
        "trend": 51.938951,
        "fair_value": 41.132137,
        "relative_strength": 17.479989,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.252984,
        "energy": 62.018932,
        "activity_lines": [
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          54.09969
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.982351,
        "volume": 243610,
        "typical_volume": 286195.55,
        "trend": 52.525179,
        "fair_value": 41.309768,
        "relative_strength": 16.281946,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.304594,
        "energy": 57.357019,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.443248,
          59.138751,
          56.416873,
          54.683135
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 61.65,
        "volume": 240733,
        "typical_volume": 285928.15,
        "trend": 53.110294,
        "fair_value": 41.493103,
        "relative_strength": 11.434479,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.311902,
        "energy": 58.339267,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.01028,
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          55.271834
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}