{ "ticker": { "uuid": "288c8f17-687b-4a5c-adb6-7e09fe88ae4f", "symbol": "002317", "name": "Guangdong Zhongsheng Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.193, "architecture_energy": 51.398, "architecture_maturity": 53.407, "architecture_confidence": 74.999, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.99, "rotation_up": 58.76, "upward_expansion": 80.71, "deceleration": 67.38, "rotation_down": 20.46, "downward_expansion": 7.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.601333, 26.799636, 24.761364, 23.225054 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 28.58, "trend_reference": 21.717804, "distance_from_trend": 0.315971, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 16.028132, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.783115, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 31.058691, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.505635, "excess_performance": 0.498236, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.315971, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071641, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.783115, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.330738, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.310587, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.332839, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.505635, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.611583, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 174606303, "relative_activity": 0.953231, "balance": 0.611583, "dry_up": 1.495285, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.11321, "annualized_volatility": 0.490298, "from_high_reference": -0.166034, "from_low_reference": 0.77981 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.717804, "fair_value_reference": 16.028132, "structural_low": 16.454386, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.045454, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": 0.018667, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.294351, "worst_return": -0.181119, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.031622, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.051525, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.737364, "worst_return": -0.116335, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.188832, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.012231, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.535248, "worst_return": -0.312906, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 27.520667, 25.941096, 23.752968, 22.436235 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.219999, "volume": 169653544, "typical_volume": 178201880.55, "trend": 21.392254, "fair_value": 15.943583, "relative_strength": 26.806048, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.831372, "energy": 51.813961, "activity_lines": [ 27.288667, 26.178727, 24.16445, 22.761329 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.58, "volume": 174606303, "typical_volume": 183173202.2, "trend": 21.717804, "fair_value": 16.028132, "relative_strength": 31.058691, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.192566, "energy": 51.398264, "activity_lines": [ 27.601333, 26.799636, 24.761364, 23.225054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }