{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "288d15c0-815d-4b91-a474-ba51aa342e7e",
    "symbol": "PSHG",
    "name": "Performance Shipping Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -33.72,
    "architecture_energy": 18.185,
    "architecture_maturity": 76.067,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.138,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.0,
        "rotation_up": 27.66,
        "upward_expansion": 18.12,
        "deceleration": 46.08,
        "rotation_down": 26.71,
        "downward_expansion": 56.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.739667,
        1.719636,
        1.732238,
        1.791806
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 1.75,
    "trend_reference": 1.880833,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.069561,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 1.910356,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.08394,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -22.244367,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.146341,
    "excess_performance": -0.333795,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.069561,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.081849,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.08394,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025261,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.222444,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041784,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.146341,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.100799,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 144373,
      "relative_activity": 0.509289,
      "balance": 1.100799,
      "dry_up": 0.645298,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.071987,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.394157,
      "from_high_reference": -0.321705,
      "from_low_reference": 0.090343
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.880833,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.910356,
      "structural_low": 1.605,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": -0.062738,
        "positive_rate": 0.473684,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.526316,
        "median_excess_return": -0.044448,
        "regime_survival": 0.894737,
        "best_return": 0.52309,
        "worst_return": -0.765445,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.058226,
        "positive_rate": 0.384615,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048364,
        "regime_survival": 0.692308,
        "best_return": 1.814162,
        "worst_return": -0.812849,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.356814,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.300096,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.202012,
        "worst_return": -0.888477,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.446075,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.514429,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.122286,
        "worst_return": -0.92827,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.137566,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.004525,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": -0.079167,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-03-13",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 178221,
        "typical_volume": 472663.4,
        "trend": 1.923167,
        "fair_value": 1.89692,
        "relative_strength": -22.800004,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.76045,
        "energy": 49.309407,
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          1.672667,
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          1.741595,
          1.820785
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.78,
        "volume": 173212,
        "typical_volume": 363670.65,
        "trend": 1.9055,
        "fair_value": 1.902663,
        "relative_strength": -17.053614,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.593671,
        "energy": 34.540655,
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          1.708333,
          1.708727,
          1.738286,
          1.811548
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.74,
        "volume": 235908,
        "typical_volume": 335227.45,
        "trend": 1.8905,
        "fair_value": 1.907151,
        "relative_strength": -19.10515,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.803415,
        "energy": 22.799645,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.724,
          1.714091,
          1.733595,
          1.800871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.75,
        "volume": 144373,
        "typical_volume": 283479.3,
        "trend": 1.880833,
        "fair_value": 1.910356,
        "relative_strength": -22.244367,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.720236,
        "energy": 18.184517,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.739667,
          1.719636,
          1.732238,
          1.791806
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}