{ "ticker": { "uuid": "28927a6f-56f0-4a23-a505-c237573b267c", "symbol": "301292", "name": "Shandong Hi-tech Spring Material Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 61.363, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -26.779, "architecture_energy": 40.671, "architecture_maturity": 6.297, "architecture_confidence": 37.803, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.55, "rotation_up": 21.28, "upward_expansion": 15.87, "deceleration": 46.42, "rotation_down": 50.75, "downward_expansion": 50.54 }, "activity_lines": [ 64.301999, 66.29309, 70.717857, 71.540473 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 69.709999, "trend_reference": 69.969666, "distance_from_trend": -0.003711, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.79141, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.339936, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 20.931503, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.371704, "excess_performance": 0.364304, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.003711, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.035253, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.339936, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.84594, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.209315, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.412385, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.371704, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.259612, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 71722598, "relative_activity": 1.062388, "balance": 1.259612, "dry_up": 1.032414, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.147303, "annualized_volatility": 0.888988, "from_high_reference": -0.347651, "from_low_reference": 3.022504 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 69.969666, "fair_value_reference": 29.79141, "structural_low": 46.029999, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.124417, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.05654, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.124417, "worst_return": 0.124417, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.084759, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.121258, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.084759, "worst_return": 0.084759, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.528771, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.44372, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.528771, "worst_return": 0.528771, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -39.398939, "energy": 48.684988, "activity_lines": [ 64.556, 67.945636, 73.395714, 72.296064 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 63.759998, "volume": 71881453, "typical_volume": 68556615.4, "trend": 70.045333, "fair_value": 29.246603, "relative_strength": 18.35205, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.173003, "energy": 48.669545, "activity_lines": [ 62.863999, 66.711091, 72.324857, 71.908107 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 64.43, "volume": 90604327, "typical_volume": 68628628.55, "trend": 69.793, "fair_value": 29.502051, "relative_strength": 19.565166, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.199377, "energy": 54.133784, "activity_lines": [ 62.218666, 65.929091, 71.269809, 71.545828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.709999, "volume": 71722598, "typical_volume": 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