{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "28a3019e-da25-42c9-ad31-f909b0892e20",
    "symbol": "GBLI",
    "name": "Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 66.354,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 26.206,
    "architecture_energy": 31.13,
    "architecture_maturity": 63.75,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.912,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.75,
        "rotation_up": 65.75,
        "upward_expansion": 42.73,
        "deceleration": 39.56,
        "rotation_down": 16.92,
        "downward_expansion": 17.73
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        27.44802,
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        26.631105,
        26.843285
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 27.97,
    "trend_reference": 27.155293,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.030002,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 28.975473,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.034701,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.125736,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.003512,
    "excess_performance": -0.183941,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030002,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.010061,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034701,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0274,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.111257,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084771,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003512,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.788113,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 31680,
      "relative_activity": 1.135392,
      "balance": 1.788113,
      "dry_up": 0.906495,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.046956,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.178147,
      "from_high_reference": -0.043318,
      "from_low_reference": 0.151977
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 27.155293,
      "fair_value_reference": 28.975473,
      "structural_low": 24.28,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
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        "positive_rate": 0.636364,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.363636,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003653,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
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        "worst_return": -0.111822,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.078238,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.005511,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": 0.006598,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -21.462982,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 28975.75,
        "trend": 27.155523,
        "fair_value": 29.053597,
        "relative_strength": -19.027513,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -60.597245,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 28419.5,
        "trend": 27.176348,
        "fair_value": 29.034135,
        "relative_strength": -10.842639,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.602712,
        "energy": 20.394113,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.126,
          25.986981,
          26.439826,
          26.780661
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 27.0001,
        "volume": 5239,
        "typical_volume": 27966.5,
        "trend": 27.170021,
        "fair_value": 29.013448,
        "relative_strength": -10.213024,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.55385,
        "energy": 17.890316,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.532033,
          26.145425,
          26.453257,
          26.76929
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 27.5,
        "volume": 42131,
        "typical_volume": 28101.1,
        "trend": 27.153069,
        "fair_value": 28.992954,
        "relative_strength": -8.526818,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -9.849101,
        "energy": 20.080741,
        "activity_lines": [
          26.994027,
          26.403493,
          26.517986,
          26.790579
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 27.97,
        "volume": 31680,
        "typical_volume": 27902.25,
        "trend": 27.155293,
        "fair_value": 28.975473,
        "relative_strength": -11.125736,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 26.205611,
        "energy": 31.129616,
        "activity_lines": [
          27.44802,
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          26.631105,
          26.843285
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}