{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "28ad1fe6-de7d-423e-8ddb-0419c6620b99",
    "symbol": "XEF",
    "name": "iShares Core MSCI EAFE IMI Index ETF",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 88.991,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.845,
    "architecture_energy": 54.081,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.35,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.988,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 13.24,
        "rotation_up": 55.33,
        "upward_expansion": 81.08,
        "deceleration": 61.47,
        "rotation_down": 25.12,
        "downward_expansion": 7.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        51.994,
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        50.943237,
        50.241244
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 53.07,
    "trend_reference": 49.552563,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.070984,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 40.35253,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.315159,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -1.514598,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.077126,
    "excess_performance": -0.043295,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070984,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.034523,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.315159,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040407,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015146,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025624,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077126,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.44657,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 811000,
      "relative_activity": 0.716393,
      "balance": 1.44657,
      "dry_up": 0.927005,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.02327,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.184539,
      "from_high_reference": -0.002444,
      "from_low_reference": 0.226762
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 49.552563,
      "fair_value_reference": 40.35253,
      "structural_low": 44.91,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": 0.010518,
        "positive_rate": 0.74359,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.74359,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003512,
        "regime_survival": 0.769231,
        "best_return": 0.048222,
        "worst_return": -0.107044,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.032581,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00727,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
        "best_return": 0.090419,
        "worst_return": -0.026448,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.073015,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003397,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
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        "worst_return": 0.019748,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.037295,
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        "worst_return": -0.16007,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "start": "2023-10-20",
        "end": "2023-11-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.083466,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2023-12-15",
        "tenure": "New",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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      {
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -2.716253,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -2.192843,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 1352970.0,
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        "fair_value": 39.71818,
        "relative_strength": -0.070149,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 39.845323,
        "relative_strength": -1.387518,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 50.830002,
        "volume": 1052000,
        "typical_volume": 1307925.0,
        "trend": 49.077479,
        "fair_value": 39.965685,
        "relative_strength": -3.080817,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.744979,
        "energy": 59.516291,
        "activity_lines": [
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          50.209264,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 51.189999,
        "volume": 924700,
        "typical_volume": 1207225.0,
        "trend": 49.226897,
        "fair_value": 40.086898,
        "relative_strength": -2.522789,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.741965,
        "energy": 49.934552,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.396,
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          50.394255,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 51.869999,
        "volume": 1410000,
        "typical_volume": 1199885.0,
        "trend": 49.39623,
        "fair_value": 40.216232,
        "relative_strength": -0.719447,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.965376,
        "energy": 44.653568,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.521666,
          51.422413,
          50.624484,
          50.004227
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 53.07,
        "volume": 811000,
        "typical_volume": 1132060.0,
        "trend": 49.552563,
        "fair_value": 40.35253,
        "relative_strength": -1.514598,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.844651,
        "energy": 54.081294,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.994,
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          50.241244
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}