{ "ticker": { "uuid": "28b01df4-3a96-4f4f-af33-4b998390e06c", "symbol": "6703", "name": "Shiny Brands Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 74.282, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 49.141, "architecture_energy": 28.39, "architecture_maturity": 11.135, "architecture_confidence": 51.794, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.41, "rotation_up": 48.03, "upward_expansion": 73.26, "deceleration": 62.64, "rotation_down": 17.71, "downward_expansion": 2.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 105.333333, 105.016529, 103.829004, 103.082955 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 103.5, "trend_reference": 101.151615, "distance_from_trend": 0.023216, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 133.828873, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.226624, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -25.819936, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.134672, "excess_performance": -0.3067, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.023216, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.037517, "read": "Rising" 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90.779327, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.019705, "positive_rate": 0.52, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": 0.008487, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.381166, "worst_return": -0.16, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.017668, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.062223, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.687023, "worst_return": -0.051923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.123288, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.234736, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 1.010429, "worst_return": -0.312804, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"date": "2026-08-07", "close": 107.0, "volume": 153490, "typical_volume": 378225.6, "trend": 100.727593, "fair_value": 134.251701, "relative_strength": -21.282614, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.636498, "energy": 39.611039, "activity_lines": [ 106.187879, 105.063637, 103.839177, 102.90409 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 103.5, "volume": 429380, "typical_volume": 371592.05, "trend": 101.151615, "fair_value": 133.828873, "relative_strength": -25.819936, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.140589, "energy": 28.389855, "activity_lines": [ 105.333333, 105.016529, 103.829004, 103.082955 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }