{ "ticker": { "uuid": "28b94015-7c73-4ce9-a576-f98d4bbef9d8", "symbol": "688568", "name": "Geovis Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.31, "architecture_energy": 80.8, "architecture_maturity": 34.0, "architecture_confidence": 92.6, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 3.68, "rotation_up": 16.29, "upward_expansion": 19.25, "deceleration": 39.07, "rotation_down": 71.39, "downward_expansion": 94.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.819333, 37.245067, 43.477797, 48.970465 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 37.009998, "trend_reference": 56.430029, "distance_from_trend": -0.344144, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.113658, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.054006, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.727713, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.476521, "excess_performance": -0.433317, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.344144, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037427, "read": "Falling" 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30.85, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.056688, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.027766, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.395512, "worst_return": -0.194027, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.217801, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.080835, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 1.074843, "worst_return": -0.115287, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.234636, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.199886, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.267507, "worst_return": -0.014787, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-34.085343, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.834285, "energy": 79.854198, "activity_lines": [ 35.979855, 39.580105, 46.509615, 51.838576 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.52, "volume": 52820531, "typical_volume": 58211961.25, "trend": 57.163029, "fair_value": 35.019032, "relative_strength": -31.862757, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.800216, "energy": 79.180314, "activity_lines": [ 34.597333, 37.912916, 44.744039, 50.27066 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.009998, "volume": 71635560, "typical_volume": 58871405.2, "trend": 56.430029, "fair_value": 35.113658, "relative_strength": -26.727713, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.309753, "energy": 80.800373, "activity_lines": [ 34.819333, 37.245067, 43.477797, 48.970465 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }