{ "ticker": { "uuid": "28c8cbad-ff9d-4a76-858c-2ec8af501e74", "symbol": "GAIL", "name": "GAIL (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.096, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 56.825, "architecture_energy": 41.937, "architecture_maturity": 34.638, "architecture_confidence": 65.561, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.37, "rotation_up": 46.7, "upward_expansion": 77.18, "deceleration": 67.71, "rotation_down": 24.34, "downward_expansion": 6.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 174.673336, 173.862728, 170.127381, 166.388738 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 173.630005, "trend_reference": 162.962587, "distance_from_trend": 0.065459, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 168.458083, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.030702, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.193403, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.06528, "excess_performance": 0.108989, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065459, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007703, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.030702, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005811, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.051934, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028992, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06528, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.661114, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 90973632, "relative_activity": 2.075621, "balance": 0.661114, "dry_up": 1.331637, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.042136, "annualized_volatility": 0.263752, "from_high_reference": -0.047977, "from_low_reference": 0.292275 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 162.962587, "fair_value_reference": 168.458083, "structural_low": 134.360001, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.014121, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.007188, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.191474, "worst_return": -0.130457, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.049787, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.003886, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.276975, "worst_return": -0.217175, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.093404, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.098898, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.476364, "worst_return": -0.214814, "sufficient": 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"relative_strength": 10.84893, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.886356, "energy": 53.860243, "activity_lines": [ 174.832667, 173.560908, 169.170333, 165.669897 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 173.630005, "volume": 90973632, "typical_volume": 43829602.15, "trend": 162.962587, "fair_value": 168.458083, "relative_strength": 5.193403, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.82491, "energy": 41.936555, "activity_lines": [ 174.673336, 173.862728, 170.127381, 166.388738 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }