{ "ticker": { "uuid": "28ecdbb4-b7f7-495e-8a2c-426253eb16ae", "symbol": "001322", "name": "Arrow Home Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.135, "architecture_energy": 43.882, "architecture_maturity": 86.786, "architecture_confidence": 82.887, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.33, "rotation_up": 27.06, "upward_expansion": 6.76, "deceleration": 60.75, "rotation_down": 41.99, "downward_expansion": 75.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.123333, 6.156, 6.409961, 6.797626 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.05, "trend_reference": 7.370928, "distance_from_trend": -0.179208, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.904412, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.320562, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -25.888182, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.350421, "excess_performance": -0.357821, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.179208, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094902, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.320562, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062128, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.258882, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041412, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.350421, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.452178, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14717000, "relative_activity": 0.756292, "balance": 0.452178, "dry_up": 1.00107, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.089869, "annualized_volatility": 0.313892, "from_high_reference": -0.377016, "from_low_reference": 0.080357 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.370928, "fair_value_reference": 8.904412, "structural_low": 5.6, 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50.909547, "activity_lines": [ 6.271333, 6.319489, 6.65231, 7.090512 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.87, "volume": 19734005, "typical_volume": 19583750.95, "trend": 7.55667, "fair_value": 9.032555, "relative_strength": -26.967609, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.675772, "energy": 53.627554, "activity_lines": [ 6.168667, 6.213227, 6.541764, 6.975679 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.21, "volume": 20843100, "typical_volume": 19689690.95, "trend": 7.463152, "fair_value": 8.972273, "relative_strength": -20.772694, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.697029, "energy": 44.834594, "activity_lines": [ 6.177333, 6.191636, 6.477961, 6.888797 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.05, "volume": 14717000, "typical_volume": 19459402.5, "trend": 7.370928, "fair_value": 8.904412, "relative_strength": -25.888182, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.13478, "energy": 43.882218, "activity_lines": [ 6.123333, 6.156, 6.409961, 6.797626 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }