{ "ticker": { "uuid": "28eea6af-a978-4dd5-86d3-16dfb9cec209", "symbol": "QFLR", "name": "INNOVATOR ETFS TRUST NASDAQ-100 MANAGED FLOOR ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 88.109, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 14.748, "architecture_energy": 14.151, "architecture_maturity": 42.048, "architecture_confidence": 79.121, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.27, "rotation_up": 25.1, "upward_expansion": 48.92, "deceleration": 80.11, "rotation_down": 34.63, "downward_expansion": 26.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.218013, 35.393305, 35.50023, 35.238738 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 35.5508, "trend_reference": 34.968683, "distance_from_trend": 0.016647, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 30.300142, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.173288, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.648751, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.028371, "excess_performance": -0.097253, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016647, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012732, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs 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"positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": 0.1302, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.041325, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.025916, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-17", "end": "2026-05-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.019355, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-06-26", 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.894201, "energy": 16.349684, "activity_lines": [ 35.6806, 35.767218, 35.518082, 35.216534 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.6442, "volume": 272822, "typical_volume": 389554.6, "trend": 34.923923, "fair_value": 30.224642, "relative_strength": -6.082836, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.180833, "energy": 10.939738, "activity_lines": [ 35.312547, 35.549153, 35.477322, 35.198724 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.94, "volume": 385963, "typical_volume": 389663.2, "trend": 34.946657, "fair_value": 30.260364, "relative_strength": -6.204044, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.814343, "energy": 9.707321, "activity_lines": [ 35.154813, 35.404065, 35.462238, 35.199761 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.5508, "volume": 345948, "typical_volume": 385709.05, "trend": 34.968683, "fair_value": 30.300142, "relative_strength": -7.648751, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 14.747843, "energy": 14.151246, "activity_lines": [ 35.218013, 35.393305, 35.50023, 35.238738 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }