{ "ticker": { "uuid": "28f0907d-7a7d-4a6b-accd-76d6699789ca", "symbol": "HCG", "name": "HealthCare Global Enterprises Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 77.029, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.241, "architecture_energy": 67.374, "architecture_maturity": 15.432, "architecture_confidence": 91.17, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.32, "rotation_up": 69.39, "upward_expansion": 92.68, "deceleration": 41.09, "rotation_down": 16.28, "downward_expansion": 14.68 }, "activity_lines": [ 669.493315, 656.869082, 639.068804, 620.700204 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 675.849976, "trend_reference": 604.573792, "distance_from_trend": 0.117895, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 503.146242, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.343248, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.941916, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.188517, "excess_performance": 0.232226, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.117895, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.031712, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.343248, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.074732, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.059419, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057967, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.188517, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.811308, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 790321, "relative_activity": 1.014206, "balance": 1.811308, "dry_up": 1.418289, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052857, "annualized_volatility": 0.21261, "from_high_reference": -0.16007, "from_low_reference": 0.316676 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 604.573792, "fair_value_reference": 503.146242, "structural_low": 513.299988, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.01656, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.588235, "median_excess_return": 0.008464, "regime_survival": 0.764706, "best_return": 0.172536, "worst_return": -0.087443, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.020897, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.01483, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.275324, "worst_return": -0.207589, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.007435, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.057214, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 0.393391, "worst_return": -0.097213, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 655.849976, "volume": 2243331, "typical_volume": 796455.55, "trend": 603.015458, "fair_value": 496.611307, "relative_strength": 4.571228, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.099358, "energy": 53.81554, "activity_lines": [ 648.066667, 640.306366, 619.745714, 607.5032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 666.549988, "volume": 855339, "typical_volume": 795802.9, "trend": 602.823792, "fair_value": 498.80073, "relative_strength": 8.399886, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.877015, "energy": 68.359771, "activity_lines": [ 657.689994, 645.431818, 626.294761, 611.602202 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 671.349976, "volume": 531820, "typical_volume": 779168.8, "trend": 603.357125, "fair_value": 500.935986, "relative_strength": 6.214943, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.464051, "energy": 68.901353, "activity_lines": [ 665.206653, 650.896359, 632.771187, 616.023246 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 675.849976, "volume": 790321, "typical_volume": 779250.9, "trend": 604.573792, "fair_value": 503.146242, "relative_strength": 5.941916, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.241456, "energy": 67.374377, "activity_lines": [ 669.493315, 656.869082, 639.068804, 620.700204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }