{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "28f3c887-dc19-4465-be6d-e07dfd37d6fc",
    "symbol": "4923",
    "name": "Force MOS Technology Co., LTD.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 33.257,
    "architecture_energy": 25.875,
    "architecture_maturity": 79.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.302,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.3,
        "rotation_up": 25.73,
        "upward_expansion": 56.61,
        "deceleration": 88.28,
        "rotation_down": 37.71,
        "downward_expansion": 20.28
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        46.546666,
        49.799999,
        47.968571,
        44.816236
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 52.0,
    "trend_reference": 40.913333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.270979,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.864356,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.337987,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 5.612786,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.637795,
    "excess_performance": 0.196423,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.270979,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.231464,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.337987,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.374318,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056128,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.282574,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.637795,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.055221,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2064393,
      "relative_activity": 0.485426,
      "balance": 2.055221,
      "dry_up": 0.42275,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.177589,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.713499,
      "from_high_reference": -0.262411,
      "from_low_reference": 0.943925
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 40.913333,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.864356,
      "structural_low": 27.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.004612,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.014866,
        "regime_survival": 0.357143,
        "best_return": 0.32925,
        "worst_return": -0.130873,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.004641,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.062571,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.49747,
        "worst_return": -0.166107,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.021228,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.024398,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.259696,
        "worst_return": -0.183252,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.065081,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0021,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.101308,
        "worst_return": 0.028855,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030452,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.051502,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2025-02-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.211628,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.161692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.051395,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.325,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.183824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.034305,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.040936,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.170854,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.146637,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 4224997.35,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 45.349998,
        "volume": 1480269,
        "typical_volume": 4171738.05,
        "trend": 40.118333,
        "fair_value": 38.772274,
        "relative_strength": -4.948656,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 26.061388,
        "energy": 27.166343,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 52.0,
        "volume": 2064393,
        "typical_volume": 4252746.05,
        "trend": 40.913333,
        "fair_value": 38.864356,
        "relative_strength": 5.612786,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 33.256817,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}