{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "29002f5c-e959-48f6-ae5c-49087f6983ee",
    "symbol": "DHL",
    "name": "Deutsche Post AG",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 67.36,
    "architecture_energy": 80.467,
    "architecture_maturity": 39.247,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.665,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 4.03,
        "rotation_up": 67.71,
        "upward_expansion": 94.78,
        "deceleration": 44.04,
        "rotation_down": 19.92,
        "downward_expansion": 19.11
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        56.590667,
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        53.236979,
        51.268886
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 55.32,
    "trend_reference": 49.109037,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.126473,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.694736,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.429652,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 12.881388,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.160753,
    "excess_performance": 0.096113,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126473,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.080408,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.429652,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.178043,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128814,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01389,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.160753,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.31215,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9674447,
      "relative_activity": 1.243246,
      "balance": 2.31215,
      "dry_up": 1.082429,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03746,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.253083,
      "from_high_reference": -0.051115,
      "from_low_reference": 0.553297
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 49.109037,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.694736,
      "structural_low": 40.898273,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.027679,
        "positive_rate": 0.653846,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.653846,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005771,
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        "worst_return": -0.118363,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
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        "regime_survival": 0.7,
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        "worst_return": -0.220824,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.043418,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.346664,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 8497179.8,
        "trend": 48.375988,
        "fair_value": 38.459658,
        "relative_strength": 23.541702,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 57.76,
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        "typical_volume": 8245633.3,
        "trend": 48.801878,
        "fair_value": 38.583568,
        "relative_strength": 21.639172,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.074036,
        "energy": 90.515416,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 55.32,
        "volume": 9674447,
        "typical_volume": 7781604.1,
        "trend": 49.109037,
        "fair_value": 38.694736,
        "relative_strength": 12.881388,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 80.467123,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}