{ "ticker": { "uuid": "291d5d27-786c-4ba3-a8e8-7971f4e5ccfa", "symbol": "002135", "name": "Zhejiang Southeast Space Frame Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 91.705, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -30.981, "architecture_energy": 41.734, "architecture_maturity": 10.873, "architecture_confidence": 49.135, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.94, "rotation_up": 20.02, "upward_expansion": 15.46, "deceleration": 47.81, "rotation_down": 58.87, "downward_expansion": 54.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.153333, 6.361818, 6.905375, 6.977498 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.43, "trend_reference": 6.847059, "distance_from_trend": -0.060911, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.020011, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.280874, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.547619, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.071667, "excess_performance": 0.064267, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.060911, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105543, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.280874, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.596422, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.075476, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.406345, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.708077, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 53452548, "relative_activity": 0.416579, "balance": 0.708077, "dry_up": 0.555356, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.15389, "annualized_volatility": 0.604766, "from_high_reference": -0.333448, "from_low_reference": 0.56068 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.847059, "fair_value_reference": 5.020011, "structural_low": 5.34, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.01505, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026699, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.055289, "worst_return": -0.025189, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.025326, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.012927, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.041037, "worst_return": 0.009615, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.052777, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.102833, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.097402, "worst_return": -0.202956, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"color": "red", "start": "2023-09-08", "end": "2024-09-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.260926, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-04", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.023809, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.120172, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.055289, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.00285, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.022272, 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.678275, "energy": 40.293666, "activity_lines": [ 6.434667, 6.800449, 7.232067, 7.09837 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.67, "volume": 75729892, "typical_volume": 145793394.9, "trend": 6.727726, "fair_value": 5.020524, "relative_strength": -0.977074, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.942292, "energy": 53.03598, "activity_lines": [ 6.094, 6.529418, 7.075964, 7.032452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.23, "volume": 69310992, "typical_volume": 139496925.2, "trend": 6.784059, "fair_value": 5.019626, "relative_strength": 10.082366, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.861461, "energy": 51.615483, "activity_lines": [ 6.064667, 6.404909, 6.978527, 7.00034 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.43, "volume": 53452548, "typical_volume": 128313181.8, "trend": 6.847059, "fair_value": 5.020011, "relative_strength": 7.547619, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.981225, "energy": 41.73402, "activity_lines": [ 6.153333, 6.361818, 6.905375, 6.977498 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }