{ "ticker": { "uuid": "291f8b7b-6d5a-4f8c-add3-771643a8af11", "symbol": "LS9", "name": "Leader Environmental Technologies Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -39.403, "architecture_energy": 21.639, "architecture_maturity": 18.777, "architecture_confidence": 59.824, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.06, "rotation_up": 19.27, "upward_expansion": 12.53, "deceleration": 61.55, "rotation_down": 41.76, "downward_expansion": 62.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.011467, 0.011491, 0.01201, 0.012002 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.012, "trend_reference": 0.012067, "distance_from_trend": -0.005525, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.015717, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.236479, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.825749, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.154835, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.005525, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.218143, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.236479, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.058325, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.398257, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.148758, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.989905, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9177100, "relative_activity": 1.191547, "balance": 0.989905, "dry_up": 0.580787, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.121795, "annualized_volatility": 0.809971, "from_high_reference": -0.586207, "from_low_reference": 0.5 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.012067, "fair_value_reference": 0.015717, "structural_low": 0.008, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 35, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.457143, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.002514, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.272727, "worst_return": -0.166684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.050964, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.020668, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.444444, "worst_return": -0.147538, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.058317, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.143096, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.160717, "worst_return": -0.213128, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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0.015906, "relative_strength": -40.278057, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.461515, "energy": 45.115805, "activity_lines": [ 0.011333, 0.011636, 0.012124, 0.012116 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.011, "volume": 1757800, "typical_volume": 7988070.0, "trend": 0.012233, "fair_value": 0.015806, "relative_strength": -44.944972, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.896425, "energy": 45.053847, "activity_lines": [ 0.0112, 0.011455, 0.012019, 0.012017 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.012, "volume": 9177100, "typical_volume": 7701835.0, "trend": 0.012067, "fair_value": 0.015717, "relative_strength": -39.825749, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.402674, "energy": 21.638616, "activity_lines": [ 0.011467, 0.011491, 0.01201, 0.012002 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }