{ "ticker": { "uuid": "295667b3-0850-4875-9c97-76bcb8f236eb", "symbol": "688369", "name": "BeiJing Seeyon Internet Software Corp.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -40.467, "architecture_energy": 29.748, "architecture_maturity": 49.853, "architecture_confidence": 69.458, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.48, "rotation_up": 27.0, "upward_expansion": 19.1, "deceleration": 60.59, "rotation_down": 45.93, "downward_expansion": 66.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.836667, 19.656546, 20.822762, 21.710753 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 21.950001, "trend_reference": 23.311, "distance_from_trend": -0.058384, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 26.080312, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.158369, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.930185, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.211849, "excess_performance": -0.168645, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.058384, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056235, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.158369, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052876, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.099302, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007423, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.211849, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.378317, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 69459981, "relative_activity": 3.743381, "balance": 0.378317, "dry_up": 1.708387, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129735, "annualized_volatility": 0.662514, "from_high_reference": -0.38892, "from_low_reference": 0.427178 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.311, "fair_value_reference": 26.080312, "structural_low": 15.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.059492, "positive_rate": 0.37037, "directional_follow_through": 0.62963, "median_excess_return": -0.025962, "regime_survival": 0.814815, "best_return": 0.543478, "worst_return": -0.248483, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.013006, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.028714, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.861514, "worst_return": -0.425313, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.086728, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.0625, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 2.04992, "worst_return": -0.509319, "sufficient": true }, { 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"fair_value": 26.737011, "relative_strength": -30.700213, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.955371, "energy": 84.971245, "activity_lines": [ 18.592, 19.878182, 21.385, 22.413742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.75, "volume": 11740657, "typical_volume": 15699492.6, "trend": 23.467333, "fair_value": 26.495026, "relative_strength": -34.45954, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.607646, "energy": 89.701856, "activity_lines": [ 17.412, 18.945273, 20.775095, 21.90071 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.0, "volume": 32311740, "typical_volume": 16158665.15, "trend": 23.427, "fair_value": 26.280139, "relative_strength": -8.086677, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.788669, "energy": 47.540901, "activity_lines": [ 18.722667, 19.29, 20.797238, 21.806043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.950001, "volume": 69459981, "typical_volume": 18555413.0, "trend": 23.311, "fair_value": 26.080312, "relative_strength": -9.930185, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.4672, "energy": 29.747544, "activity_lines": [ 19.836667, 19.656546, 20.822762, 21.710753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }