{ "ticker": { "uuid": "295ed9f9-b843-4f49-9d60-a8f0404fadfc", "symbol": "BANARBEADS", "name": "Banaras Beads Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 89.536, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 16.24, "architecture_energy": 33.101, "architecture_maturity": 5.328, "architecture_confidence": 71.747, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.31, "rotation_up": 58.85, "upward_expansion": 43.7, "deceleration": 27.12, "rotation_down": 17.75, "downward_expansion": 21.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 116.628666, 112.789999, 111.22019, 111.262731 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 113.860001, "trend_reference": 112.000333, "distance_from_trend": 0.016604, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 110.672906, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.028797, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.256728, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.089484, "excess_performance": -0.045775, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016604, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.055469, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.028797, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.092637, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.022567, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.068262, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.089484, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.30801, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14088, "relative_activity": 0.548075, "balance": 4.30801, "dry_up": 1.321656, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083017, "annualized_volatility": 0.357747, "from_high_reference": -0.308682, "from_low_reference": 0.17624 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 112.000333, "fair_value_reference": 110.672906, "structural_low": 96.800003, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.024054, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.040246, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": -0.018287, "worst_return": -0.048369, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.073862, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.09593, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.004656, "worst_return": -0.15238, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.004348, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.035324, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.2516, "worst_return": -0.242904, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"energy": 66.22042, "activity_lines": [ 101.774665, 104.97418, 107.639952, 109.906903 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 115.639999, "volume": 234764, "typical_volume": 20540.0, "trend": 113.166, "fair_value": 109.778404, "relative_strength": 1.036221, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.621916, "energy": 22.29459, "activity_lines": [ 106.259332, 106.342908, 108.206952, 110.034817 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 118.739998, "volume": 44543, "typical_volume": 22347.75, "trend": 112.824999, "fair_value": 110.003664, "relative_strength": 3.148083, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.314203, "energy": 10.756416, "activity_lines": [ 111.040665, 108.220908, 109.100618, 110.394429 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 121.949997, "volume": 57924, "typical_volume": 24931.05, "trend": 112.61, "fair_value": 110.265889, "relative_strength": 8.320646, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.336742, "energy": 28.447403, "activity_lines": [ 115.747331, 110.729816, 110.31357, 110.983139 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 115.290001, "volume": 19335, "typical_volume": 25663.15, "trend": 112.206333, "fair_value": 110.471198, "relative_strength": -0.202475, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.474163, "energy": 27.808209, "activity_lines": [ 116.844666, 111.905272, 110.85238, 111.156042 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 113.860001, "volume": 14088, "typical_volume": 25704.5, "trend": 112.000333, "fair_value": 110.672906, "relative_strength": -2.256728, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.239764, "energy": 33.101401, "activity_lines": [ 116.628666, 112.789999, 111.22019, 111.262731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }