{ "ticker": { "uuid": "296598f1-c660-4422-b5c0-1c3fa6c1cf0c", "symbol": "002536", "name": "Feilong Auto Components Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 20.564, "architecture_energy": 18.817, "architecture_maturity": 88.029, "architecture_confidence": 94.809, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.5, "rotation_up": 22.84, "upward_expansion": 56.27, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 38.58, "downward_expansion": 22.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 42.151999, 44.826716, 43.654671, 41.26607 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 39.610001, "trend_reference": 37.893605, "distance_from_trend": 0.045295, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.917201, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.093862, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 20.025078, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.356507, "excess_performance": 0.349107, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.045295, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.219632, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.093862, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.566741, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.200251, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.239514, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.356507, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.443258, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 240677019, "relative_activity": 1.421356, "balance": 1.443258, "dry_up": 1.386099, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.188262, "annualized_volatility": 0.84128, "from_high_reference": -0.326246, "from_low_reference": 1.370437 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 37.893605, "fair_value_reference": 18.917201, "structural_low": 26.889999, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.022488, "positive_rate": 0.482759, "directional_follow_through": 0.482759, "median_excess_return": 0.021469, "regime_survival": 0.724138, "best_return": 0.598109, "worst_return": -0.242391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.04638, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": 0.108458, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.880565, "worst_return": -0.275723, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.299176, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.349107, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.725768, "worst_return": -0.283499, 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"typical_volume": 172035601.1, "trend": 37.440606, "fair_value": 18.61615, "relative_strength": 54.659746, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.854377, "energy": 53.569731, "activity_lines": [ 49.889999, 47.890764, 44.374987, 41.317288 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.599998, "volume": 209101934, "typical_volume": 168398931.8, "trend": 37.563272, "fair_value": 18.746238, "relative_strength": 11.64001, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.951921, "energy": 15.783038, "activity_lines": [ 44.735332, 45.796313, 43.769186, 41.134023 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.610001, "volume": 240677019, "typical_volume": 169329172.35, "trend": 37.893605, "fair_value": 18.917201, "relative_strength": 20.025078, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 20.563921, "energy": 18.816688, "activity_lines": [ 42.151999, 44.826716, 43.654671, 41.26607 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }