{ "ticker": { "uuid": "29740141-94e0-4ef3-8a79-6a91ff904c98", "symbol": "LFUS", "name": "Littelfuse Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.728, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 31.105, "architecture_energy": 14.576, "architecture_maturity": 56.124, "architecture_confidence": 92.989, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.81, "rotation_up": 29.81, "upward_expansion": 49.78, "deceleration": 81.75, "rotation_down": 28.45, "downward_expansion": 27.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 431.767333, 432.756909, 435.877976, 418.644234 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 456.55, "trend_reference": 392.391576, "distance_from_trend": 0.163506, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 267.47219, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.706906, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 20.889968, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.310528, "excess_performance": 0.123075, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.163506, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.186102, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.706906, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097166, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.2089, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.156492, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.310528, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.029544, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1177619, "relative_activity": 0.736199, "balance": 1.029544, "dry_up": 1.287345, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097206, "annualized_volatility": 0.409414, "from_high_reference": -0.08794, "from_low_reference": 0.967889 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 392.391576, "fair_value_reference": 267.47219, "structural_low": 288.96179, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.028116, "positive_rate": 0.583333, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": 0.036892, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.25608, "worst_return": -0.121525, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.136547, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.002359, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.359631, "worst_return": -0.172154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.050981, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.028899, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.4779, "worst_return": -0.149907, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"close": 415.16, "volume": 1958980, "typical_volume": 1510663.2, "trend": 370.817885, "fair_value": 263.490402, "relative_strength": 12.610512, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.723472, "energy": 25.090487, "activity_lines": [ 435.902667, 447.470623, 430.065252, 406.51218 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 397.75, "volume": 2377638, "typical_volume": 1546818.65, "trend": 375.608038, "fair_value": 264.190082, "relative_strength": 11.906565, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.073135, "energy": 22.881697, "activity_lines": [ 419.289333, 437.529592, 429.440496, 408.249736 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 404.86, "volume": 1297905, "typical_volume": 1524617.5, "trend": 380.399078, "fair_value": 264.914291, "relative_strength": 14.943834, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.834325, "energy": 22.499464, "activity_lines": [ 410.005333, 429.945091, 429.274386, 410.136959 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 442.13, "volume": 3383755, "typical_volume": 1597370.2, "trend": 386.418172, "fair_value": 266.160402, "relative_strength": 23.947977, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.110883, "energy": 17.23251, "activity_lines": [ 418.142, 429.873273, 432.166895, 414.119599 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 456.55, "volume": 1177619, "typical_volume": 1599593.8, "trend": 392.391576, "fair_value": 267.47219, "relative_strength": 20.889968, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.104796, "energy": 14.576107, "activity_lines": [ 431.767333, 432.756909, 435.877976, 418.644234 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }