{ "ticker": { "uuid": "298b546e-a58f-4733-b58a-c4786353092e", "symbol": "C2PT34", "name": "Camden Property Trust", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 54.89, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 37.572, "architecture_energy": 55.255, "architecture_maturity": 48.112, "architecture_confidence": 49.354, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.75, "rotation_up": 54.81, "upward_expansion": 50.5, "deceleration": 50.21, "rotation_down": 29.89, "downward_expansion": 22.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.507333, 38.331246, 36.788363, 36.418597 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 38.07, "trend_reference": 36.450201, "distance_from_trend": 0.044439, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 37.991071, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.002078, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.995526, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.039287, "excess_performance": 0.096336, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.044439, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005418, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.002078, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089025, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.009955, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.247548, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.039287, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.000225, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1, "relative_activity": 0.004448, "balance": 0.000225, "dry_up": 0.013345, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0193, "annualized_volatility": 0.269848, "from_high_reference": -0.051569, "from_low_reference": 0.193417 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.450201, "fair_value_reference": 37.991071, "structural_low": 31.9, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.010083, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.014393, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.09592, "worst_return": -0.053846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.126966, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.244084, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.05644, "worst_return": -0.181387, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.036793, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.051938, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.265656, "worst_return": -0.147418, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.073654, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.008585, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.053846, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { 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83.711522, "activity_lines": [ 38.549836, 36.738239, 35.609081, 35.869478 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 40.139999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 224.3, "trend": 36.511423, "fair_value": 37.885823, "relative_strength": 1.207625, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 48.53489, "energy": 81.982608, "activity_lines": [ 39.501163, 37.547765, 36.054111, 36.106643 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 38.119999, "volume": 11, "typical_volume": 224.8, "trend": 36.491572, "fair_value": 37.924342, "relative_strength": -3.078377, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.969147, "energy": 78.602093, "activity_lines": [ 39.357883, 37.885424, 36.298794, 36.210422 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.119999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 224.8, "trend": 36.47172, "fair_value": 37.957867, "relative_strength": -4.430032, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 40.196907, "energy": 78.501426, "activity_lines": [ 38.927999, 38.149615, 36.545132, 36.315482 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.07, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 224.8, "trend": 36.450201, "fair_value": 37.991071, "relative_strength": -0.995526, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.571727, "energy": 55.254549, "activity_lines": [ 38.507333, 38.331246, 36.788363, 36.418597 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }