{ "ticker": { "uuid": "29934fae-b482-4733-b3a4-fa8155d7d947", "symbol": "6434", "name": "TacBright Optronics Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.385, "architecture_energy": 23.235, "architecture_maturity": 43.862, "architecture_confidence": 61.364, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.98, "rotation_up": 18.02, "upward_expansion": 46.0, "deceleration": 69.32, "rotation_down": 37.18, "downward_expansion": 40.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.626667, 15.309091, 16.932286, 15.868645 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 15.1, "trend_reference": 13.523667, "distance_from_trend": 0.116561, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.573654, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.709174, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 24.541612, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.745455, "excess_performance": 1.304083, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.116561, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.398518, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.709174, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.0574, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.245416, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.922813, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.745455, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.663882, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1685648, "relative_activity": 0.123058, "balance": 1.663882, "dry_up": 0.338457, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.280183, "annualized_volatility": 1.785538, "from_high_reference": -0.607282, "from_low_reference": 5.317992 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.523667, "fair_value_reference": 5.573654, "structural_low": 4.94, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.070179, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.085115, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.385185, "worst_return": -0.260638, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.005484, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.070885, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 2.218182, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.939755, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.657197, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.235832, "worst_return": -0.356322, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"teal", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-03-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.045351, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.030612, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.066313, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.08642, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.138408, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.704678, "active": false }, { "regime": 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16.543333, 17.312727, 17.741809, 15.443419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.1, "volume": 3825707, "typical_volume": 15143990.7, "trend": 12.431, "fair_value": 5.403846, "relative_strength": 10.42508, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.481164, "energy": 10.15682, "activity_lines": [ 14.92, 16.276364, 17.384286, 15.439054 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.9, "volume": 5790175, "typical_volume": 15184087.5, "trend": 12.756, "fair_value": 5.453013, "relative_strength": 26.276354, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 3.889746, "energy": 21.175642, "activity_lines": [ 14.206667, 15.669091, 17.168429, 15.533828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.0, "volume": 7243260, "typical_volume": 14989062.0, "trend": 13.154333, "fair_value": 5.515962, "relative_strength": 38.967581, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.308678, "energy": 24.671645, "activity_lines": [ 14.473333, 15.554545, 17.114048, 15.743118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 15.1, "volume": 1685648, "typical_volume": 13698044.25, "trend": 13.523667, "fair_value": 5.573654, "relative_strength": 24.541612, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.384508, "energy": 23.234912, "activity_lines": [ 14.626667, 15.309091, 16.932286, 15.868645 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }