{ "ticker": { "uuid": "29c5bbb7-980a-4038-a9af-f8a3e2a1b200", "symbol": "1236", "name": "Hunya Foods Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.76, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 27.878, "architecture_energy": 43.455, "architecture_maturity": 19.568, "architecture_confidence": 54.182, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.86, "rotation_up": 61.45, "upward_expansion": 50.5, "deceleration": 19.36, "rotation_down": 21.27, "downward_expansion": 27.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 24.886666, 24.541275, 24.204284, 24.261084 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 25.4, "trend_reference": 24.315599, "distance_from_trend": 0.044597, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.061884, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.151307, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -23.892495, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.020723, "excess_performance": -0.420649, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.044597, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.009071, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.151307, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109021, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.238925, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079187, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.020723, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.93456, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 828663, "relative_activity": 2.754417, "balance": 0.93456, "dry_up": 1.809606, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041409, "annualized_volatility": 0.215139, "from_high_reference": -0.055742, "from_low_reference": 0.312358 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.315599, "fair_value_reference": 22.061884, "structural_low": 21.744488, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.040678, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.010257, "regime_survival": 0.466667, "best_return": 0.074157, "worst_return": -0.264583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.017366, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.044967, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.13006, "worst_return": -0.214545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.024574, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.100344, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.667742, "worst_return": -0.146079, "sufficient": true }, { 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"energy": 11.556503, "activity_lines": [ 24.24801, 23.957841, 24.03438, 24.170382 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.549999, "volume": 701779, "typical_volume": 286923.4, "trend": 24.228847, "fair_value": 22.021726, "relative_strength": -26.369835, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -32.787663, "energy": 15.471273, "activity_lines": [ 24.031723, 23.914733, 23.962675, 24.127042 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.549999, "volume": 300333, "typical_volume": 254906.25, "trend": 24.214049, "fair_value": 22.023663, "relative_strength": -27.443675, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.706008, "energy": 19.700835, "activity_lines": [ 23.851279, 23.892478, 23.89777, 24.083245 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.549999, "volume": 363207, "typical_volume": 247534.55, "trend": 24.215402, "fair_value": 22.03201, "relative_strength": -22.879413, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.175792, "energy": 4.08003, "activity_lines": [ 24.04626, 24.040514, 23.939814, 24.104919 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.5, "volume": 685468, "typical_volume": 269066.55, "trend": 24.264043, "fair_value": 22.047432, "relative_strength": -21.379877, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.516237, "energy": 23.441586, "activity_lines": [ 24.533333, 24.323902, 24.077049, 24.187796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 25.4, "volume": 828663, "typical_volume": 300848.75, "trend": 24.315599, "fair_value": 22.061884, "relative_strength": -23.892495, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 27.878037, "energy": 43.45476, "activity_lines": [ 24.886666, 24.541275, 24.204284, 24.261084 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }