{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "29c60a2d-069f-4065-b111-f7b47cc090bc",
    "symbol": "UAN",
    "name": "CVR Partners LP",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 95.981,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.744,
    "architecture_energy": 49.58,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.398,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.543,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The prior uptrend is attempting to re-accelerate.",
        "body": "Positive Trend survived a recompression and Fast Activity is strengthening again. Promotion requires renewed confirmation across the completed evidence set."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.45,
        "rotation_up": 70.75,
        "upward_expansion": 79.33,
        "deceleration": 53.3,
        "rotation_down": 8.53,
        "downward_expansion": 5.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        124.824,
        120.508364,
        120.204823,
        119.631474
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 126.57,
    "trend_reference": 117.197416,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.079973,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 77.127459,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.64105,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.401443,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.278011,
    "excess_performance": 0.152386,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079973,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07005,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.64105,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054817,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.074014,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.077818,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.278011,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.618199,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 363081,
      "relative_activity": 1.25361,
      "balance": 0.618199,
      "dry_up": 0.659188,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.059034,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.461632,
      "from_high_reference": -0.065233,
      "from_low_reference": 0.619719
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 117.197416,
      "fair_value_reference": 77.127459,
      "structural_low": 92.855953,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.007538,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022058,
        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
        "best_return": 0.148636,
        "worst_return": -0.16497,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.019549,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.096648,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.11043,
        "worst_return": -0.17326,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.009173,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.127601,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.159884,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.074706,
        "sufficient": false
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-11-15",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 359643.25,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 74.215135,
        "relative_strength": 2.605757,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 0.880467,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 112.814207,
        "fair_value": 75.22649,
        "relative_strength": 2.486352,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 202156,
        "typical_volume": 374940.7,
        "trend": 113.613119,
        "fair_value": 75.581005,
        "relative_strength": 2.856979,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.66682,
        "energy": 30.603401,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 119.02,
        "volume": 115402,
        "typical_volume": 360053.75,
        "trend": 114.502019,
        "fair_value": 75.927656,
        "relative_strength": 6.434442,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 9.219109,
        "energy": 10.633362,
        "activity_lines": [
          115.518667,
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          118.657866,
          117.557077
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 123.06,
        "volume": 119189,
        "typical_volume": 340551.15,
        "trend": 115.468841,
        "fair_value": 76.299096,
        "relative_strength": 10.129159,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.209605,
        "energy": 22.607912,
        "activity_lines": [
          118.523333,
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          118.876857,
          118.109204
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 128.99,
        "volume": 166006,
        "typical_volume": 294073.05,
        "trend": 116.49598,
        "fair_value": 76.715565,
        "relative_strength": 13.690389,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.471085,
        "energy": 38.756059,
        "activity_lines": [
          122.727333,
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          119.660453,
          118.981537
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 126.57,
        "volume": 363081,
        "typical_volume": 289628.4,
        "trend": 117.197416,
        "fair_value": 77.127459,
        "relative_strength": 7.401443,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.74371,
        "energy": 49.580018,
        "activity_lines": [
          124.824,
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          120.204823,
          119.631474
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}