{ "ticker": { "uuid": "29d8163b-f8a2-43a5-b44e-cc369bf69044", "symbol": "PTL", "name": "PTL Enterprises Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 50.451, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 23.769, "architecture_energy": 18.906, "architecture_maturity": 47.471, "architecture_confidence": 83.288, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.05, "rotation_up": 21.44, "upward_expansion": 53.28, "deceleration": 90.5, "rotation_down": 38.13, "downward_expansion": 21.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.605332, 40.01638, 39.868084, 39.500626 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 39.849998, "trend_reference": 39.051116, "distance_from_trend": 0.020457, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38.487769, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.035394, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.390039, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.032754, "excess_performance": 0.010956, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020457, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016774, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.035394, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047941, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.0339, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056095, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.032754, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.365146, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 181688, "relative_activity": 0.978757, "balance": 0.365146, "dry_up": 0.753729, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036261, "annualized_volatility": 0.169762, "from_high_reference": -0.052615, "from_low_reference": 0.10524 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.051116, "fair_value_reference": 38.487769, "structural_low": 36.099998, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.023406, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.031166, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.108597, "worst_return": -0.106807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.014227, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.029717, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.310709, "worst_return": -0.067622, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.108195, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.054138, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.390648, "worst_return": -0.156292, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.030596, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.046249, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.0153, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-31", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.010908, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 29.62372, "volume": 224823, "typical_volume": 662188.45, "trend": 27.949399, "fair_value": 22.735938, "relative_strength": 0.784315, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.500596, "energy": 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38.301658, "relative_strength": 3.998008, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.741532, "energy": 40.646222, "activity_lines": [ 40.488229, 40.291855, 39.806042, 39.386432 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.259998, "volume": 126913, "typical_volume": 190850.55, "trend": 38.916393, "fair_value": 38.360851, "relative_strength": 5.462293, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.65757, "energy": 18.570988, "activity_lines": [ 39.984722, 40.149787, 39.810024, 39.411091 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.419998, "volume": 118499, "typical_volume": 185931.1, "trend": 38.965811, "fair_value": 38.423075, "relative_strength": 3.124244, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.10459, "energy": 19.911234, "activity_lines": [ 39.667447, 40.047902, 39.823816, 39.443582 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.849998, "volume": 181688, "typical_volume": 185631.45, "trend": 39.051116, "fair_value": 38.487769, "relative_strength": 3.390039, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.769005, "energy": 18.906377, "activity_lines": [ 39.605332, 40.01638, 39.868084, 39.500626 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }