{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a028a4a-a206-4852-ac69-15e74086e3e8", "symbol": "688099", "name": "Amlogic (Shanghai) Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 64.069, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 27.907, "architecture_energy": 13.091, "architecture_maturity": 30.705, "architecture_confidence": 85.494, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.01, "rotation_up": 33.57, "upward_expansion": 56.71, "deceleration": 79.42, "rotation_down": 25.51, "downward_expansion": 18.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 96.366668, 96.060729, 97.560005, 95.881453 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 97.150002, "trend_reference": 93.912214, "distance_from_trend": 0.034477, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 74.898069, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.297096, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.605679, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.111161, "excess_performance": 0.154365, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.034477, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.031309, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.297096, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.227057, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.056057, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153016, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.111161, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.740473, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 85085559, "relative_activity": 1.257436, "balance": 0.740473, "dry_up": 1.485581, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.133515, "annualized_volatility": 0.567453, "from_high_reference": -0.210011, "from_low_reference": 0.380519 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 93.912214, "fair_value_reference": 74.898069, "structural_low": 75.562639, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.001358, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.538462, "median_excess_return": -0.009547, "regime_survival": 0.461538, "best_return": 0.118495, "worst_return": -0.142499, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.083451, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.059637, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.254924, "worst_return": -0.157413, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.161157, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.237093, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.588636, "worst_return": -0.242249, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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95.049261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 98.0, "volume": 112307110, "typical_volume": 64232556.6, "trend": 93.254288, "fair_value": 74.826903, "relative_strength": 10.868387, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.575931, "energy": 9.620138, "activity_lines": [ 95.557334, 96.056183, 97.13921, 95.383424 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 97.400002, "volume": 100976270, "typical_volume": 66288493.0, "trend": 93.576271, "fair_value": 74.853638, "relative_strength": 9.254657, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.557095, "energy": 11.963446, "activity_lines": [ 96.013334, 95.919274, 97.376953, 95.650889 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 97.150002, "volume": 85085559, "typical_volume": 67665895.9, "trend": 93.912214, "fair_value": 74.898069, "relative_strength": 5.605679, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.906845, "energy": 13.091352, "activity_lines": [ 96.366668, 96.060729, 97.560005, 95.881453 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }