{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a062eea-c5a2-4fac-96bc-7867832280cf", "symbol": "6940", "name": "Gus Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -50.343, "architecture_energy": 46.329, "architecture_maturity": 19.247, "architecture_confidence": 71.402, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.71, "rotation_up": 7.26, "upward_expansion": 13.78, "deceleration": 48.31, "rotation_down": 66.87, "downward_expansion": 75.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.433333, 22.708181, 23.437857, 23.263333 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.799999, "trend_reference": 23.518333, "distance_from_trend": -0.115584, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 32.200711, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.354052, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -48.451489, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.192233, "excess_performance": -0.633605, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.115584, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079457, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.354052, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038367, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.484515, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030511, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.192233, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.817382, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2543136, "relative_activity": 0.469521, "balance": 0.817382, "dry_up": 0.412109, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.162352, "annualized_volatility": 0.574084, "from_high_reference": -0.51231, "from_low_reference": 0.074935 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.518333, "fair_value_reference": 32.200711, "structural_low": 19.35, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.050228, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.067486, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.090909, "worst_return": -0.084691, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.099421, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.002734, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.241187, "worst_return": -0.042345, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.056698, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.173552, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.09833, "worst_return": -0.211726, 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"trend": 23.965, "fair_value": 32.599131, "relative_strength": -46.254996, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.908826, "energy": 31.82243, "activity_lines": [ 22.246666, 23.837273, 23.747381, 23.559247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.299999, "volume": 2399434, "typical_volume": 5624970.65, "trend": 23.721667, "fair_value": 32.402572, "relative_strength": -43.727276, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.76085, "energy": 34.239875, "activity_lines": [ 21.966666, 23.349091, 23.668571, 23.451828 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 20.799999, "volume": 2543136, "typical_volume": 5416452.2, "trend": 23.518333, "fair_value": 32.200711, "relative_strength": -48.451489, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.343155, "energy": 46.32899, "activity_lines": [ 21.433333, 22.708181, 23.437857, 23.263333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }