{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2a08f326-9e50-4ed1-9ea7-db659e66cc20",
    "symbol": "603693",
    "name": "Jiangsu New Energy Development Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 86.564,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -60.606,
    "architecture_energy": 52.325,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.852,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.428,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.86,
        "rotation_up": 13.58,
        "upward_expansion": 8.82,
        "deceleration": 44.98,
        "rotation_down": 64.05,
        "downward_expansion": 82.16
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        11.921333,
        12.251037,
        13.392909,
        13.711964
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 12.08,
    "trend_reference": 13.776575,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.123149,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 11.878811,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.016937,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.81416,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.03745,
    "excess_performance": 0.005754,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123149,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012657,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016937,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.273994,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.088142,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.133674,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03745,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.453151,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 39179853,
      "relative_activity": 0.412652,
      "balance": 1.453151,
      "dry_up": 0.610088,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.130944,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.536665,
      "from_high_reference": -0.406971,
      "from_low_reference": 0.10219
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.776575,
      "fair_value_reference": 11.878811,
      "structural_low": 10.96,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": -0.007004,
        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.555556,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004955,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.097976,
        "worst_return": -0.17078,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.061983,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.099208,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.07743,
        "worst_return": -0.339076,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.021718,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": -0.139563,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.049027,
        "worst_return": -0.258178,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.275225,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.182841,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.571427,
        "worst_return": -0.280183,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.077128,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.2,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.025652,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.019847,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.026459,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.088957,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.040765,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.095745,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.206997,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.145785,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011811,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.085743,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002357,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
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        "return": 0.029838,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-07-28",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -14.35779,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 107585445.4,
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        "fair_value": 11.901725,
        "relative_strength": -9.800193,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.572615,
        "energy": 62.012688,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11.69,
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        "typical_volume": 109477527.75,
        "trend": 13.762574,
        "fair_value": 11.891125,
        "relative_strength": -9.568413,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -40.937046,
        "energy": 63.9904,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 12.12,
        "volume": 42387669,
        "typical_volume": 104839323.8,
        "trend": 13.769241,
        "fair_value": 11.883594,
        "relative_strength": -6.320883,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.321869,
        "energy": 55.466736,
        "activity_lines": [
          11.882,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 12.08,
        "volume": 39179853,
        "typical_volume": 94946393.25,
        "trend": 13.776575,
        "fair_value": 11.878811,
        "relative_strength": -8.81416,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.606468,
        "energy": 52.32525,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}