{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2a0f1e51-74d8-4920-97ac-702d7a6f0527",
    "symbol": "HEIO",
    "name": "Heineken Holding N.V.",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.86,
    "architecture_energy": 90.29,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.124,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.04,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.11,
        "rotation_up": 85.12,
        "upward_expansion": 99.4,
        "deceleration": 39.27,
        "rotation_down": 8.84,
        "downward_expansion": 21.4
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        65.429397
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 72.650002,
    "trend_reference": 64.488718,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.126554,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 64.307106,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.129735,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.727545,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.119459,
    "excess_performance": -0.054788,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126554,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039914,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129735,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188296,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047275,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.11591,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119459,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 5.0,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 5.0,
      "dry_up": 1.363636,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035897,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.261834,
      "from_high_reference": -0.025922,
      "from_low_reference": 0.291758
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 64.307106,
      "structural_low": 57.855045,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": -0.031847,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006788,
        "regime_survival": 0.533333,
        "best_return": 0.058653,
        "worst_return": -0.085205,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
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        "worst_return": -0.139435,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "relative_strength": -17.18661,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.716158,
        "energy": 25.985734,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.549432,
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          62.726865,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 61.099998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 15.95,
        "trend": 61.72547,
        "fair_value": 64.900643,
        "relative_strength": -16.318536,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.663187,
        "energy": 24.469939,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.604456,
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          62.341099
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 60.099998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 15.95,
        "trend": 61.735095,
        "fair_value": 64.785229,
        "relative_strength": -16.693311,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.041817,
        "energy": 32.299928,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.347822,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 63.150002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 15.95,
        "trend": 61.867578,
        "fair_value": 64.699969,
        "relative_strength": -13.691427,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 4.607091,
        "energy": 9.333218,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.254886,
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          62.327514
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 61.5,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 15.35,
        "trend": 62.013529,
        "fair_value": 64.625631,
        "relative_strength": -17.571497,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -7.98319,
        "energy": 7.366018,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.51,
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          62.22185,
          62.303799
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 61.150002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 15.35,
        "trend": 62.082607,
        "fair_value": 64.549638,
        "relative_strength": -16.520384,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -8.096773,
        "energy": 8.472536,
        "activity_lines": [
          61.500001,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 64.199997,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 15.35,
        "trend": 62.204445,
        "fair_value": 64.489369,
        "relative_strength": -14.144598,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.46279,
        "energy": 18.002199,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.433333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 63.349998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14.7,
        "trend": 62.314252,
        "fair_value": 64.422178,
        "relative_strength": -18.136132,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 11.908516,
        "energy": 15.931965,
        "activity_lines": [
          62.876666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 67.099998,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 14.7,
        "trend": 62.549059,
        "fair_value": 64.386093,
        "relative_strength": -11.164645,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.491078,
        "energy": 57.850894,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.353332,
          63.102241,
          62.558945,
          62.767358
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 68.347488,
        "volume": 100,
        "typical_volume": 19.7,
        "trend": 62.83686,
        "fair_value": 64.356828,
        "relative_strength": -11.134276,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.143096,
        "energy": 77.186162,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.982495,
          64.238633,
          63.031341,
          63.14145
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 67.803078,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 19.7,
        "trend": 63.080432,
        "fair_value": 64.327606,
        "relative_strength": -10.227906,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.837863,
        "energy": 77.447831,
        "activity_lines": [
          66.973689,
          65.111057,
          63.45898,
          63.461852
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 70.079681,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 19.7,
        "trend": 63.39989,
        "fair_value": 64.306794,
        "relative_strength": -4.962988,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.380839,
        "energy": 88.472243,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.280212,
          66.256443,
          64.114054,
          63.913416
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 69.733238,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 17.85,
        "trend": 63.728993,
        "fair_value": 64.276398,
        "relative_strength": -6.264178,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.480657,
        "energy": 87.834225,
        "activity_lines": [
          69.079275,
          67.175573,
          64.742663,
          64.322019
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 72.356276,
        "volume": 120,
        "typical_volume": 23.85,
        "trend": 64.112926,
        "fair_value": 64.291405,
        "relative_strength": -2.492472,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.107873,
        "energy": 91.824137,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.327135,
          68.396469,
          65.600386,
          64.878618
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 72.650002,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 22.0,
        "trend": 64.488718,
        "fair_value": 64.307106,
        "relative_strength": -4.727545,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.860395,
        "energy": 90.289781,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.322485,
          69.503383,
          66.450565,
          65.429397
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}