{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "2a0f65da-8c69-456e-a5c1-fe946af9d7a6",
    "symbol": "UIM9",
    "name": "UBS MSCI Canada UCITS ETF CAD dis",
    "exchange": "AMS",
    "country": "NL",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AEX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.256,
    "architecture_energy": 85.731,
    "architecture_maturity": 38.229,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.086,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 5.76,
        "rotation_up": 80.43,
        "upward_expansion": 93.3,
        "deceleration": 45.74,
        "rotation_down": 12.96,
        "downward_expansion": 17.63
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        57.757667,
        57.196182,
        56.300876,
        55.459375
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 58.604,
    "trend_reference": 54.370698,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.07786,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 42.863792,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.367215,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.511993,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.148953,
    "excess_performance": 0.032291,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.07786,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046634,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.367215,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.039372,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.01512,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040791,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.148953,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 6.681063,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 21894,
      "relative_activity": 2.401184,
      "balance": 6.681063,
      "dry_up": 1.447055,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.01446,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.103619,
      "from_high_reference": -0.000188,
      "from_low_reference": 0.329987
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 54.370698,
      "fair_value_reference": 42.863792,
      "structural_low": 50.285999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 40,
        "median_return": 0.012673,
        "positive_rate": 0.725,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.725,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000728,
        "regime_survival": 0.85,
        "best_return": 0.084863,
        "worst_return": -0.052518,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": 0.0516,
        "positive_rate": 0.785714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.785714,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007024,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.118267,
        "worst_return": -0.11953,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_return": 0.086205,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
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        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.047183,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": 0.085043,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 40.789237,
        "relative_strength": 5.835738,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 11525.85,
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      },
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 2.959816,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 7782.5,
        "trend": 53.238445,
        "fair_value": 42.089382,
        "relative_strength": 0.772535,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 72.634824,
        "energy": 84.996208,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 56.740002,
        "volume": 24534,
        "typical_volume": 8384.9,
        "trend": 53.466482,
        "fair_value": 42.24214,
        "relative_strength": 1.328358,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.428001,
        "energy": 84.963671,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 57.537998,
        "volume": 13749,
        "typical_volume": 8983.75,
        "trend": 53.699682,
        "fair_value": 42.395818,
        "relative_strength": 1.842812,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.633861,
        "energy": 92.023811,
        "activity_lines": [
          56.7648,
          56.345818,
          55.446971,
          54.710287
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 57.575001,
        "volume": 11430,
        "typical_volume": 8458.1,
        "trend": 53.924258,
        "fair_value": 42.54727,
        "relative_strength": 1.912489,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.795651,
        "energy": 90.302176,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.130267,
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          55.729119,
          54.960308
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 57.201,
        "volume": 5704,
        "typical_volume": 8479.6,
        "trend": 54.1452,
        "fair_value": 42.701456,
        "relative_strength": 0.295233,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.554496,
        "energy": 74.649346,
        "activity_lines": [
          57.243667,
          56.804764,
          55.957767,
          55.171711
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 58.604,
        "volume": 21894,
        "typical_volume": 9118.0,
        "trend": 54.370698,
        "fair_value": 42.863792,
        "relative_strength": 1.511993,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.255514,
        "energy": 85.731158,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}