{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a116e7b-01e7-4465-8ff6-c813eb8a2703", "symbol": "EBC", "name": "Eastern Bankshares Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.295, "architecture_energy": 67.068, "architecture_maturity": 20.941, "architecture_confidence": 78.38, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.72, "rotation_up": 71.53, "upward_expansion": 89.29, "deceleration": 47.04, "rotation_down": 13.46, "downward_expansion": 13.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.874, 22.483091, 21.53094, 21.029503 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 22.84, "trend_reference": 20.543868, "distance_from_trend": 0.111767, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.866589, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.439503, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.634539, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.05848, "excess_performance": -0.128973, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.111767, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062631, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.439503, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117647, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.036345, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097003, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.05848, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.013969, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9708080, "relative_activity": 0.704815, "balance": 1.013969, "dry_up": 1.034653, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.048912, "annualized_volatility": 0.238659, "from_high_reference": -0.038316, "from_low_reference": 0.554787 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.543868, "fair_value_reference": 15.866589, "structural_low": 18.136945, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.014218, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.008268, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.104908, "worst_return": -0.121238, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.023788, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.051997, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.128677, "worst_return": -0.157966, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.06175, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.098827, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.089977, "worst_return": -0.140842, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"energy": 79.601672, "activity_lines": [ 21.947333, 21.171694, 20.556703, 20.323459 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.0, "volume": 10852769, "typical_volume": 13008958.8, "trend": 20.119559, "fair_value": 15.681085, "relative_strength": 9.810208, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.526391, "energy": 84.739927, "activity_lines": [ 22.406667, 21.604444, 20.835038, 20.518924 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 22.92, "volume": 13054089, "typical_volume": 13066382.5, "trend": 20.265164, "fair_value": 15.742752, "relative_strength": 10.777843, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.810608, "energy": 83.085234, "activity_lines": [ 22.689333, 21.966458, 21.088046, 20.699597 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 22.96, "volume": 23390028, "typical_volume": 13779473.25, "trend": 20.421302, "fair_value": 15.805494, "relative_strength": 9.881736, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.108251, "energy": 77.829212, "activity_lines": [ 22.830667, 22.26531, 21.325471, 20.873458 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.84, "volume": 9708080, "typical_volume": 13773938.5, "trend": 20.543868, "fair_value": 15.866589, "relative_strength": 3.634539, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.295466, "energy": 67.068076, "activity_lines": [ 22.874, 22.483091, 21.53094, 21.029503 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }