{ "ticker": { "uuid": "2a1515e5-7cc7-4ccf-bd16-562e951797ff", "symbol": "WPP", "name": "WPP PLC ADR", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 78.755, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 93.565, "architecture_energy": 89.998, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.316, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.0, "rotation_up": 85.17, "upward_expansion": 94.85, "deceleration": 41.84, "rotation_down": 10.85, "downward_expansion": 21.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.095333, 20.156364, 19.001884, 18.410679 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 27.55, "trend_reference": 18.153241, "distance_from_trend": 0.517635, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.606888, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.180228, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 23.302249, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.533576, "excess_performance": 0.407951, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.517635, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.023389, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.180228, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.304935, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.233022, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.532825, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.533576, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.201707, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5071680, "relative_activity": 1.91077, "balance": 1.201707, "dry_up": 1.023214, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079261, "annualized_volatility": 0.595737, "from_high_reference": -0.008104, "from_low_reference": 0.914251 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.153241, "fair_value_reference": 33.606888, "structural_low": 14.392052, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.009313, "positive_rate": 0.529412, "directional_follow_through": 0.529412, "median_excess_return": -0.020204, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.071479, "worst_return": -0.11741, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.01753, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.086504, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.138185, "worst_return": -0.311905, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.10417, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.123493, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.058946, "worst_return": -0.313056, "sufficient": false }, { 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"close": 19.05, "volume": 1866226, "typical_volume": 2692141.85, "trend": 18.173708, "fair_value": 34.029027, "relative_strength": -13.313936, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": 2.258609, "energy": 5.628086, "activity_lines": [ 17.935333, 17.88635, 17.607295, 17.619592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 18.75, "volume": 1422957, "typical_volume": 2627325.85, "trend": 18.071572, "fair_value": 33.851881, "relative_strength": -13.113508, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.344118, "energy": 27.727012, "activity_lines": [ 18.307333, 18.054525, 17.759013, 17.656772 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.21, "volume": 2502636, "typical_volume": 2560848.15, "trend": 18.002873, "fair_value": 33.699914, "relative_strength": -6.479272, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 42.104166, "energy": 53.17214, "activity_lines": [ 19.114, 18.456022, 18.042752, 17.794735 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 27.55, "volume": 5071680, "typical_volume": 2654259.45, "trend": 18.153241, "fair_value": 33.606888, "relative_strength": 23.302249, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 93.565488, "energy": 89.998042, "activity_lines": [ 22.095333, 20.156364, 19.001884, 18.410679 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }